There will be no analogue of the Russian SVO in Taiwan - forecast
By worsening relations with China, the United States is trying to force official Beijing to outline its positions and “red lines.”
Andrei Sidorov, head of the department of international organizations and world political processes at Moscow State University, stated this at a press conference in Moscow, a PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
“From the point of view of global geopolitics, Pelosi’s visit is truly a new stage, it is to force China to indicate its position. What will he do? Will it be decided by military means? In principle, of course, given current capabilities, this is not 96, this is not the third Taiwan crisis. China can solve this problem.
Another question is how does China view the Taiwanese? Like our own citizens, destroy the infrastructure there, hit objects of social and economic significance? It's quite difficult here. Militarily they can do it. The Americans expect that China will not agree to this, that it will go for a long blockade of Taiwan, and here any pressure, provocations and the like are possible,” Sidorov said.
At the same time, according to the expert, the ball is now in China’s court – Beijing must offer Russia a form of cooperation or fill existing joint projects with real content.
“Of course, here it will be necessary to develop a new formula for Russia and China. Not the old formulas of military-political alliances, but a new formula of interaction. And at the same time, now the ball is in the Chinese side. That is, we need to offer something, because Russia is already conducting military operations in Ukraine, until the NVO ends, I think that Russia will not initiate any major projects.
But China, now it has been put in a position where it must outline where, strictly speaking, the Chinese “red lines” are for the United States. Well, on the other hand, China must offer something to those inside this perimeter.
Remember, in 16, when the Trans-Pacific Partnership was signed, our president put forward the idea of a large Eurasian partnership. This idea began to be filled with content. Now, for China, it is probably necessary to revive “One Belt, One Road”, fill it with specific content, and here Russia and China have some opportunities, quite broad ones,” the analyst believes.
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