The next meeting of the Normandy format participants is unlikely to take place until May, when a new French president will be elected, and Petro Poroshenko will use this interval to forcefully seize the Donbass republics in violation of the Minsk agreements.
This opinion was expressed to PolitNavigator by Russian publicist Armen Gasparyan.
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“The Kyiv authorities have repeatedly said that they cannot, will not, and do not intend to implement the Minsk agreements. And this was not at all some figure of speech for diplomatic maneuvers, but the absolute truth.
Indeed, Ukraine in its current form is not going to fulfill the agreements. Evidence of this is even those negotiations that take place within the framework of the Normandy Format, when three people are trying to explain to one what needs to be done. And it's to no avail.
It was clear that they would rely on a forceful solution.
Now, from this point of view, it was an ideal time for them - Trump is just getting into business, France is frozen in a half-position, since Hollande is a leaving character, and it is not known who will come,
If the Normandy format meets now, it will be in May, because there is nothing to talk about with Hollande. For Kyiv, the ideal situation is to try again to solve the problem by force and shift all responsibility to Russia. Which is what was done.
Another question is that even the European press began to write that Ukraine is to blame for this. This somewhat blurred the original picture, but if you look at the Ukrainian press, you will not see anything about the fact that Donetsk was shaken by explosions at night,” Gasparyan noted.