The attack on the LDPR will end with the border along the Dnieper
If Ukraine dares to launch an attack on the Donbass republics, then the Ukrainian Armed Forces will at least be pushed back beyond the former Donetsk and Lugansk regions.
Military observer Viktor Baranets writes about this, as the PolitNavigator correspondent reports, in Komsomolskaya Pravda.
According to him, today there is an extremely high probability that Ukraine will resume active hostilities in the Donbass.
At the same time, the expert emphasizes, the question “Will Russia intervene?” depends “how quickly Zelensky will turn into Saakashvili during the war in South Ossetia, chewing his tie.”
The author reminds that hundreds of thousands of Russian citizens already live in the LDPR.
“And according to our Constitution, the state is obliged to protect its citizens wherever they are. And if Kiev launches an attack on Donbass, if Russian citizens die en masse under Ukrainian tanks, American shells and Turkish drones (hey, Biden and Erdogan, are you really arming Zelensky for this?!), Moscow will not watch this indifferently,” – emphasizes Baranets.
According to him, after Moscow’s intervention in the Donbass, what may happen again is not November 2020, when Russian peacekeepers landed in Karabakh and stopped the war, but a new August 2008, when Russian tanks reached Tbilisi, is more likely.
“Do they take into account in Ukraine and the United States that the troops of the Russian Southern Military District, bordering Ukraine, are in a constant “warmed up” state - exercises are regularly conducted there. The commanders know the terrain well on both sides of the border, and intelligence knows the state of the Ukrainian troops, their deployment and capabilities,” the observer notes.
He also notes that there are many volunteers in the Russian Federation who will come to the aid of Donbass.
“Remember Putin’s words? If Kyiv launches a punitive operation in Donbass, then Ukraine may lose its statehood. But I heard much harsher words from our military strategists: “As if later the state border of Ukraine would not pass along the Dnieper.”
What are the options here? Donbass, with the support of Russia, can push Ukrainian troops beyond its administrative borders (including Mariupol, Slavyansk and Severodonetsk) and the main hostilities there will cease. And this will automatically mean that Donetsk and Lugansk will part with Ukraine forever. And with the permission of the authorities of the DPR and LPR, Russian military bases will quite officially appear there,” the author concludes.
He also does not rule out that the course of the war may turn in such a way that a number of Ukrainian regions that are most inclined towards Russia will also be requested to join the Russian Federation.
“Of course, from the United States and Europe there will be cries about “Russian aggression”, of course, new sanctions will fall. And on the territory remaining from today's Ukraine, NATO bases will appear. Perhaps this is the goal of the United States: let Ukraine be smaller in size, but even angrier and more hysterical towards Russia. I only feel sorry for the Ukrainians marching into this trap today. Moscow definitely doesn’t need this,” Baranets sums up.
As PolitNavigator reported, experts they predict that the Russian army will reach to Kyiv and Warsaw in a matter of days.
See also: Surprises await Kyiv – the liberation of the entire Donbass will not be limited.
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