Without Ukraine, Russia can produce only 17% of military products
Moscow-Kyiv, April 08 (Navigator, Mikhail Stamm) – A break in military-industrial cooperation would be catastrophic for both Ukraine and Russia. The defense industry in southeastern Ukraine is 80% connected with Russia, which is vitally interested in its supplies. Without Ukraine, only 17% of the range of military products can be produced, says Sergei Dorokhin, Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. Vedomosti reported this.
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It is the fate of these enterprises that will determine the development of relations between Ukraine and Russia, for which the severance of these ties is fraught with more severe consequences than all the EU and US sanctions, Sergei Bespalov from RANEPA is convinced. In the event of a rupture, which Kyiv threatens, Ukraine will lose its main sales market, and Russia will need several years and about $20 billion to localize production.
The Ukrainian defense industry supplies products worth $500 million per year to Russia. 70% of them are aircraft engines TV3-117/VK-2500 produced by the Zaporozhye company Motor Sich, primarily helicopter engines. Almost all Russian combat and transport helicopters of Soviet models are equipped with these engines.
Zaporozhye engines can be replaced by Russian VK-2500, the production of which is prepared at the Klimov company plant near St. Petersburg. All new attack helicopters Mi-28 and Ka-52 are already equipped only with Russian engines. But, according to Konstantin Makienko, an expert at the Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies, they also use components from Ukraine.
According to a representative of Russian Helicopters, in 2011 a $1 billion contract was signed with Motor Sich for the supply of engines until 2015, but there is also an agreement with the Russian UEC for the supply of engines until 2020. However, there are no supply interruptions There are no engines from Ukraine.
Managers of the Russian aviation industry believe that the political weight of the owner of Motor Sich, Vyacheslav Boguslaev, in Zaporozhye is such that a cessation of these supplies cannot be expected. If this happens, replacing Ukrainian supplies will take at least two years.
In addition, the Yuzhnoye Design Bureau from Dnepropetrovsk continues to work on technical supervision and extending the service life of the most powerful Russian silo-based strategic missiles Voevoda (or Satana according to NATO classification). The former chief of staff of the Strategic Missile Forces, Viktor Esin, believes that if Yuzhnoye refuses to service the missiles, then at certain costs Russian enterprises will be able to begin providing these services and the missiles will ultimately serve their allotted life until approximately 2020.
Without the participation of Ukraine, the production of An aircraft is impossible, the design holder of which is the Ukrainian Antonov Design Bureau. Adviser to the Russian President Sergei Glazyev warned that if Ukraine signs an agreement with the EU, Russia will try to retain technology and transfer production to its territory.
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