Ukro-2025

It is not true that in ten years there will be no Ukraine anymore. Because Ukraine is not a state, but an infectious way of life. A bad but pleasant habit. It’s so great not to see the edges, not to feel the bottom, to be proud of yourself and never, ever think.

But seriously, Ukraine, of course, will remain, for the simple reason that no one needs it in full. Therefore, no one will save, destroy or teach her.

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Ukraine, of course, will lose the industrial areas of the East. The coal basin simply has nothing to do within the same state with merchandisers and cleaning women. Therefore, mining and processing activities will certainly provoke the emergence of its own state formation. And it’s difficult to resist this, because no one will want to pay for someone else’s war for a long time.

With no less probability, by 2025 Ukraine will completely lose control over Transcarpathia. Simply due to its geographical location, this region is being integrated into neighboring states with a more efficient and predictable system of governance.

Territorial losses are also likely in the south of the country. The interests of Russia, Romania and Transnistria, which suffers from lack of access to the sea, are clearly expressed here. And they will definitely draw a map of the Northern Black Sea region without taking into account the interests of a weakening Ukraine.

The fate of Ukraine itself seems just as predictable. She will not rush around in search of state-forming activities, if only because she does not know what it is. At most, he will ask to borrow money. Or demand. With the same result.

Ukraine will completely lose its importance as a transit country. Container transportation will lose its meaning. Neither gas, nor oil, nor chemical products will be supplied through Ukraine. All complex production will be stopped. The demand for skilled labor will fall to negative values. Universities will stop working. Secondary education will become paid, not compulsory and of poor quality. The outflow of population to neighboring states will continue. Due to historical and cultural characteristics, mainly to Russia.

Actually, Russia will also get Ukraine’s share in the international division of labor.

The population of Ukraine will decrease significantly. It’s hard to say whether there will be 10-15 million left, because no one will count.

Under these conditions, the main activity in the territories of Ukraine will be the services and agriculture sectors.

The development of the agricultural sector will be driven by competitive advantages. The presence of black soil and the cheapest labor. These two factors will attract the interest of international companies, which will ensure investment and effective management in this sector of the economy.

That, in fact, is all that will happen to Ukraine by 2025.

A number of oddities can also be predicted.

The inadequacy of Ukrainian management can be expressed, for example, in the unilateral abolition of visas with the European Union. Or even unilateral entry into the European Union. And even in declaring objecting states terrorist organizations. Top officials of Ukraine have long realized what the trick is and how to maintain interest in themselves. They are able to create their own reality, they can decide to switch to an eight-day week or a 25-hour day.

Yes.

And Ukraine will remain a fascist state. And not because it is ruled by fascists, but because it generates international interest that can be monetized. If not with loans, then at least with tourists. It’s cool, in 2025, to see a living person shouting “Glory to Ukraine!”