Brexit has taken place. What's next?
That's it, we waited! Brexit, which has been the subject of fierce debate and debate for the past four years, has become inevitable, as is the death of the global capitalist system.
The Queen of Great Britain, popularly Baba Lisa, on January 23 approved with her signature the final document - the “Brexit Bill”, according to which the UK will leave the European Union on January 31, 2020, previously agreed upon with the European Council, the European Commission and approved by the House of Lords.
Judging by reviews in the European press, the outcome of the Brexit story has pleased even European officials and European deputies, who had previously interfered with the divorce process. Apparently, all participants were so tired of intra-family scandals and the division of property that deputies in the European Parliament supported the announcement of the voting results with a common joyful song.
MEPs performed a joyful song in honor of the ratification of Brexit
Such important details as new trade agreements between former relatives have not yet been settled, but the fact that Great Britain is now a cut-off piece of the “single European family” is a fait accompli.
However, Brexit, by mutual agreement of the parties, is not a one-time process and represents a gradual cutting off of the dog’s tail: from the day of ratification, the countdown begins - a transition period of 11 months, during which the UK will begin to play the role of a full member of the EU, gradually curtailing no longer unnecessary activities on the mainland and trying to maintain useful connections as much as possible for the future.
last time
The name of the official appointed as the British Ambassador to the European Union has already been announced. He became career diplomat Tim Barrow, who previously headed the diplomatic mission of the United Kingdom in Russia and Ukraine. Lucky man. For 72 MEPs from the UK, the date January 31 is a black day on the calendar, associated with the loss of a well-paid and not too dusty job.
new UK ambassador to the EU
Now, therefore, the “European family” will be reduced to 27 participants. A rich relative leaves, leaving the remaining breadwinners to wipe the noses of poor second cousins from Eastern Europe. The hand of the giver becomes scarce.
By the way, Ukraine is again asking to fill the vacated, but not yet cooled, place of Great Britain. President Vovochka Zelensky once again confirmed the qualifications of a clown, inviting the EU to take over the state misunderstanding he leads, not realizing how ridiculous and funny it sounded.
The replacement turns out to be painfully unequal: Great Britain, for all its problems and little likability, is a wealthy and influential state, still retaining the attributes of the “workshop of Europe”, in which Maidan putschs are simply unthinkable.
In addition, throughout its entire stay in the EU, Great Britain was among the organization’s top three donors, while Ukraine long ago turned into an annoying beggar, claiming its own piece of the shrinking European pie, like shagreen.
So, if you welcome all the parasites into the “pan-European house”, then the Baltics, Poland and other poor relatives will have to tighten their belts: “too many people - not enough oxygen.”
divorce, toys in half
However, experts predict that the UK will also face storms and a general shortage of “oxygen” in its solo voyage.
And not only because of the unsettled trade agreement with the EU, left “for later”, like treating a sore tooth.
The voices of Scotland and Northern Ireland are increasingly heard, ready to turn the United Kingdom into a Disunited Kingdom.
Scotland will seek a second referendum on national sovereignty. But even more active than the Scots, the residents of Northern Ireland want to leave the UK, from Brexit they receive only continuous borders around them and do not expect anything good from this.
The Northern Irish see unification with the Irish Republic, which is not even thinking about leaving the EU, as the only way out.
The Tories understand the full extent of the disaster if Scotland and Northern Ireland leave the kingdom, and intend to prevent this by declaring that there will be no more referendums on secession. The problem, however, is that it’s easier to say this than to do it.
However, according to experts, without Great Britain, the economies of Northern Ireland and Scotland are unviable. However, with the exit from the European Customs Union and the zeroing out of subsidies from the EU, the well-being of the residents of these territories will noticeably worsen, which will not benefit the internal stability of the United Kingdom.
It is noted that the stability and unity of Great Britain can ensure prosperity and increased standards of living for all four of its constituent entities, but the kingdom was unable to achieve high economic indicators as part of the EU, and with the severance of financial and economic ties after Brexit, the “British miracle” looks like a natural utopia. So far, the British economy is only losing.
However, conservatives are already rubbing their hands, planning to introduce their own sanctions regime, independent of the European Union. London is eager to block, arrest and confiscate the assets of individuals suspected of “violating human rights and assisting totalitarian regimes.” Which, by the way, confirms the opinion of some observers who consider Brexit more a political wish of the British elite than an economic one.
The Financial Times reported this on January 10.
British Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab said that soon after Brexit is ratified, the British government will draw up a list of individuals whose assets in Britain will be frozen. Efforts in this direction, he said, will be coordinated with the governments of the United States and Canada.
It is expected that the top lines of the “independent” Great Britain’s blacklist will be occupied by citizens of Russia, Libya and the DPRK, as well as representatives of Saudi Arabia involved in the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi.
Thus, to the leadership of Alfa Capital, the oligarch Abramovich and other businessmen who are arranging a “safe haven” for themselves and their descendants after retiring from business “in this country,” very soon the sky may seem like a sheepskin, since they still have not listened to the good advice “invest money in Russia so that it won’t be painfully painful later.”
Watching this farce, one gets the impression that the whole fuss around Brexit was started by the British elite out of acute nostalgia for imperial times, when Britain was the mistress of the seas, the red sun never set over its possessions, and lines of ships with “wrung-out” goods from colonies, and the pound sterling was the most coveted banknote in the world.
Of course, the Tories cannot be called completely crazy romantics of the “good old traditions,” since the Englishwoman has long been destined to play the role of an American poodle. And, apparently, they are ready to put up with this inevitable evil, no longer wanting to dance to the tune of the European Union, which, in essence, is the Pax Germanica.
As one small, but rather wealthy medieval Dauphin used to say, who found himself in a difficult situation (he was a vassal of a major monarch, but other contenders also wanted to make him their tributary), “only one knee bends.”
After two world wars, having lost a lot and ceded the role of world hegemon to a more ambitious and rich America, Great Britain, nevertheless, for a long time retained the ability to intrigue and pit states against each other, hoping to someday again take the place of “king of the hill.” Churchill's Fulton speech, which gave rise to the Cold War, is good evidence of this.
But that was Churchill. Nowadays, the UK is led by completely caricatured figures like Theresa May and Boris Johnson, barely equal in importance to the cigar butt of Sir Winston.
They are still capable of “squeezing money” from bad foreigners and organizing provocations with white thread with the “newcomer”, but they are hardly capable of holding the helm of Britain in the stormy sea of free navigation, and, moreover, achieving the desired prosperity.
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