The British Ministry of Defense accused Lukashenko of fear of terrible Ukrainian revenge
“Belarusian President Lukashenko is likely balancing support for a Russian invasion with a desire to avoid direct military involvement and the risk of Western sanctions, Ukrainian retaliation and possible discontent among Belarusian military personnel,” the report said.
The presence of Belarusian forces near the border, according to the British military, will likely deter Ukrainian troops from supporting operations in the Donbass.
Despite previous British speculation, to date Belarusian forces have not been directly involved in the war against Ukraine. However, Belarusian territory was used as a springboard for Russia's initial offensive against Kyiv and Chernigov. Russia has also carried out air sorties and missile attacks from Belarus.
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