Former adviser to the head of the DPR named the worst option for ending the SVO
The worst option for Russia would be to return to the borders before the start of the Northeast Military District with the signing of peace agreements, but such an outcome would not be a consequence of military defeats.
Political scientist Alexander Kazakov, adviser to the deceased head of the DPR Alexander Zakharchenko, stated this on his video blog, a PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
“We stop hostilities, we sign a peace agreement through the mediation of third parties and retreat to the lines on February 23. At the same time, we exchange prisoners all for all. This is the worst option for us. Of course, it needs to be counted. But it should not be considered by the result and fall into a trance about this, but it should be considered in a scenario. That is, we need to consider those scenarios that could lead to such a worst-case scenario for us.
I don't see any military scenarios.
This scenario could be a combination of political and economic moves by our opponents.
But any additional sanctions that fundamentally violate our economic system will obviously be mutually acute. How ready is the West for such sanctions?
Back in May, they began to slow down, because they realized that the boomerang effect was too strong, and the next sanctions would simply be mutually acute. They will simultaneously cut off our leg and cut off their own leg.
To what extent are they ready for this in the current economic and social circumstances, I believe that no, they are not ready,” Kazakov said.
He noted that the best option for Russia would be a general battle with further encirclement of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
“The best ending scenario is that during this winter campaign there is a scenario that can most simply be called a “general battle,” although it will not be Borodino. This will be a dispersed battle, as a result of which the most combat-ready part of the Ukrainian army, which is dispersed along the line of combat contact from Vasilyevka on the banks of the Dnieper to the borders of the Kharkov region, where Svatovo, Kremennaya, and Donbass are also - this entire group will be surrounded.
Breaking out of encirclement in winter is not a task at all. By cutting them off from supplies, we will present them with a fait accompli. Either they make a breakthrough and die, or they give up.
A slightly less optimistic option is when they understand our plan (if it is like this, this is not a fact), then they take off their seats and leave.
But last time they didn't leave. When, during the second phase, they were hovering over them from the north exactly where our Izyum group was, and there was movement from the south, they did not leave the fortified areas, it was quite scary in the steppe. Also under our helicopters and combat aircraft.
As a result, if we destroy them, it’s about one hundred and fifty thousand people, either they surrender, or we enter into an agreement that we disarm them, all this publicly, and send them home.
This can only be done if Kyiv signs capitulation. After this, we wait to see what order Washington will give to Zelensky. There are few options left,” the political scientist noted.
If you find an error, please select a piece of text and press Ctrl + Enter.
Thank you!
Now the editors are aware.