A quarter of the Ukrainian group in Donbass is under threat of encirclement and defeat
Kyiv, January 08 (PolitNavigator, Vladimir Raichenko) – The Ukrainian army is only able to barely hold the line, but not conduct offensive operations in the Donbass, and a quarter of the ATO group may end up in a giant cauldron.
About this in a commentary to the Kyiv weekly Vesti. Reporter,” said one of the organizers of the Ukrainian volunteer initiative “SOS Army” Yuri Kasyanov.
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He does not believe in peace, predicts an aggravation of the situation and does not rule out a large-scale offensive from the east against the positions of the Kyiv group.
“Of course, today the “army of Novorossiya” is disparate formations, they don’t even have a common command,” says a Ukrainian volunteer. – Even if the territory is stuffed with the most modern weapons, the DPR/LPR will not be able to advance without the support of regular Russian military formations. And this is precisely the most likely scenario: the Russian Federation will help the “republics” come close to the borders of the regions. It is potentially possible to create several pockets, for example, in Debaltseve, where the short-sighted command drove almost a quarter of the Ukrainian army.”
According to the representative of the “SOS Army”, in the near future the DPR and LPR will receive some kind of analogue of the “Khasavyurt” agreements as part of Ukraine, after which the situation in Kharkov, Nikolaev, and Odessa will begin to rock.
“By the summer we can expect a blow in this direction,” Yuri Kasyanov does not rule out. – To prevent this scenario, we urgently need to build the Armed Forces, change generals, and put the defense in order at the front. After all, one more cauldron - and power in Ukraine can be replaced by force. As for the likelihood of an offensive by our Armed Forces, the army is simply not ready for offensive operations; it can only somehow hold the perimeter.”
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