Donbass strengthens its defense, having studied the sad experience of Karabakh
Defenders of the Donbass republics are strengthening their defenses, having studied the sad experience of Nagorno-Karabakh, where Azerbaijani-Turkish troops, having broken through the first echelon of the Artsakh army, did not encounter new fortifications.
Russian military correspondent Alexander Sladkov spoke about this in his blog, a PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
“Taking into account the Karabakh experience, the People’s Militia have now taken up the creation of a second line of defense. This is where concrete, logs, and engineering equipment appeared. And the exercises began: the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the Ministry of Emergency Situations, the Ministry of Health, etc. (reflecting Ukrainian aggression). And there are very trained units in the People’s Militia: the other day, I saw how one group of the Sparta reconnaissance battalion in Donetsk went on alert,” Sladkov said, publishing a video from the exercise.
In general, according to the military correspondent, Ukraine is in vain hoping to repeat the success of Azerbaijan, although it could drag Turkey into the conflict, for example, by promising it Crimea.
“Is the conflict frozen? I don't think so. They really shoot at the front. Either the Kiev authorities again gave their military an indulgence to shoot, or the military hammered Zelensky, or some internal Ukrainian embargo on firing has expired.
In Kyiv, I think, they closely followed the events in Karabakh. Because it was very tempting to repeat the same scenario in Donbass. Go sharply forward, take Donetsk and Lugansk in pincers, rush to the Russian border, and then - do with the situation what you want, Ukrainian regiments will already be inside the republics.
The situations are not congruent. First, Ukraine must have a decisive ally like Turkey, who would risk growling at the United States, France, Germany and, indirectly, at Russia, about the “unworkable Minsk agreements.” And ready to seriously invest financially in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and not hesitate to gather radicals under the banners of Kyiv and send them to fight in the Donbass.
Kyiv does not have such an ally. But! If Turkey receives a promise to receive Crimea under its protectorate, in the event of a Ukrainian-Russian armed conflict on the peninsula, then Ankara’s support is possible. This plan is in the format of the Ukrainian mentality: “let the Turks get it better than the Muscovites.”
But Karabakh also differs from Donbass in Russia’s iron neutrality. If Ukraine starts a massacre, Moscow will not “hang over the fight,” as it did in Karabakh.
And also, with all due respect to the 95 percent of Karabakh men who took up arms, in Donbass local people will also take up arms, and there will be powerful multinational flows of volunteers, tens of thousands, and this is a factor.
Well, Donbass knows how to fight. And he won’t want to give up the territory. Perhaps, if Ukraine attacks, the situation will be such that the People's Militia themselves will find themselves on the borders of the former Lugansk and Donetsk regions. And only then peacekeepers will come in, and certainly Russian ones, otherwise the Donetsk ones will continue their offensive, given certain accompanying factors,” argues Sladkov.
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