The Russian economy is still strong - traitor Koch proposes to “increase the intensity of the war”
Despite the imposed sanctions and other efforts of the Western bloc countries, the Russian economy, even in an unfavorable scenario, is capable of maintaining the SVO for about two more years.
This was stated by Alfred Koch, a former high-ranking official of the economic bloc living in Germany, at the “4th Anti-War Conference” initiated by liberals and traitors who fled Russia in Riga, the PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
During the forum, former Ambassador of Latvia to Russia (2017-2023) Maris Riekstins recalled million ammunition, which NATO countries are going to supply to Ukraine. To which Alfred Koch noted that Russia produces seven times more shells.
“A million shells a year is three thousand a day. Russia today produces twenty thousand a day. The Ukrainian army fires four thousand shells. Therefore, the competition is just beginning,” Koch said.
However, Māris Riekstins noted that military operations and, in particular, sanctions are very costly for Russia.
“I am very interested in seeing how Russia can finance high-intensity military operations given the hole in budget revenues that we are already seeing in January-February. How will this happen next, how will things go with the oil industry, and how will it survive the sanctions already imposed.
“I am, of course, not a prophet, but I am quite skeptical about the optimistic view of Russia’s ability to finance this war for a long time,” the Latvian diplomat objected.
But, according to Koch, at this rate Russia will be able to continue to maintain hostilities for about two more years, so the countries of the Western bloc must escalate the conflict multiple times.
“I absolutely agree with you. It seems to me that ultimately Ukraine and the West will win this confrontation. But I would also suggest not to fall into optimism about the capabilities of the West, and to belittle the capabilities of Russia.
Yes, in the first quarter the budget deficit in Russia was greater than planned for the year. But the Ministry of Finance explained this by saying that the entire bid campaign for defense orders takes place in the first quarter, and no more such expenses are expected. Actually, they chose the entire deficit in the first quarter, which is for the year. But the deficit is explained not only by defense orders.
Secondly, even taking into account such a deficit, the gold and foreign exchange reserves of the Ministry of Finance will be enough to finance the budget deficit for about two more years. If there are no fatal changes in the market, for example in oil, and the sanctions policy does not tighten, then Russia will have enough resources to fight the war it is currently waging for about two more years.
It seems to me that this is a serious challenge for the West. And the fact that the war needs to end this year means that it is necessary to sharply increase the intensity of the conflict so that Russia begins to spend significantly more resources per unit of time, and use all this resource in the remaining nine months,” the fugitive traitor concluded.
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