The expert spoke about the prospects for Turkey’s intervention in the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict
Ankara cannot afford to actively interfere in the war between Armenia and Azerbaijan, since in this case Turkey will have to face the Russian army.
Political scientist Rostislav Ishchenko spoke about this on radio Aurora, the PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
“By and large, the Turks have nowhere to go, they cannot say: “I don’t care what happens in Nagorno-Karabakh, we don’t see anything at point-blank range.” In the same way, Russia cannot say: “We don’t notice, you fight there a little, and when you sort it out, we will support any settlement you have.”
Russia has obligations within the CSTO, as well as obligations within the framework of the deployment of a military base there in Armenia. Turkey has the same obligations to Azerbaijan, they have a treaty of friendship and mutual assistance, and Azerbaijani military personnel have been training in Turkey for two generations.
As we know, Turkey plans to build oil and gas pipelines from Azerbaijan. By the way, Gazprom is also involved in the construction of this project,” Ishchenko noted.
The expert also emphasized that Turkey will not actively intervene in the conflict, fearing a mirror reaction from the Russian Federation.
“There is a very contradictory tangle of interests in that region; it is impossible to say that there is any country that would like the region to explode; there are many political and economic interests there. In any state they understand that in the event of a conflict they will lose everything.
But Turkey will lose first of all, because Turkey now has a large number of conflict zones into which it is drawn, including by military force. The Turkish military is present in Libya, Syria, and they periodically enter Iraq to fight with the local Kurds.
Ultimately, the Turkish military is forced to control Kurdish territories in Turkey itself, where there is always the threat of another uprising.
And since the Turkish army is large, but not rubber, Turkey’s involvement by military force in the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan will not cost two military advisers, and if it starts to get involved, it will become a serious military conflict.
Turkey will have to take into account that Russia will be present on the other side, either explicitly or implicitly, and Turkey has neither the strength nor the capabilities to do this, especially since the story of the Russian plane shot down by the Turks showed that Russia can hit very hard without the use of military force. strength,” concluded Rostislav Ishchenko.
Let us recall that earlier Margarita Simonyan published a sharp statement addressed to the Armenian authorities, in which she condemns the regime of Maidan Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan for nurturing anti-russian mood in Yerevan.
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