Expert forecast: Reunification of Russian lands is inevitable
December 30 will mark exactly 100 years since the formation of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. This unification helped reformat the Russian Empire, leaving the territories acquired over centuries under the influence of Moscow, but endowing them with statehood - after the collapse of the USSR, all 15 union republics had the opportunity to become independent states.
Professor of the Crimean Federal University. Vernadsky Maximilian Shepelev, according to whom, the entire history of Russia proceeds in waves from periods of separation to unification and back.
“We have seen another change in these phases,” he noted. – After disunion, the next unification in some new format will inevitably come. Another question is, what were the reasons for this? In my opinion, the main role was played by errors in the perception of the surrounding reality by the leadership of the then Soviet Union.
The point here is not even whether Shevardnadze and Yakovlev were CIA agents, but the question is that the Soviet leadership looked at the world with completely inadequate eyes. Where did logic begin in 1985? With the acceleration of scientific and technological progress proclaimed by Gorbachev. Acceleration for what? Due to the fact that our economic growth rate has slowed to 2%. These numbers are now remarkable, and countries are not falling apart because of them. And then it went on and on.”
He is convinced that economic reforms in the USSR were populist in nature and their consequences were not calculated. In addition, economic independence was followed by political independence, since the basis of the USSR was the Bolshevik Party, and as soon as the Bolsheviks began to lose weight, the situation got out of control.
“After the acceleration, we tried to combine the hedgehog with the snake, introducing the necessary measures of economic stimulation with political reforms. And as a result, the processes were released from their hands both there and there. And by 1989, so many decisions had been made, including elections of directors of enterprises, laws on individual labor activity, cooperatives, which led to the collapse of industrial relations.
In the Baltics, where did it begin? From economic self-government, which they began to ask for the union republics. We followed their lead and provided economic self-government. When they satisfied one wish, they began to want even more,” the professor recalled.
The expert called the informal meeting of the heads of state of the CIS in St. Petersburg a confirmation that, despite all the forecasts, ties between the former Soviet republics remain.
“For the population of the Soviet Union, the formation of the CIS was initially perceived as a form of transformation. People did not understand and did not put into it the same meaning as the elite, the signatories of the Belovezhskaya Accords, did.
But no matter how many times they have said that the CIS has no meaning, it is doomed, has no prospects, nevertheless, ties are preserved and play a certain role as a political instrument. The very fact that this platform plays the political role of coordinating positions and comparing notes, especially in our time, is important,” Shepelev concluded.
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