Experts: The only result of the negotiations in Donetsk is the rise of Medvedchuk
Moscow – Kyiv, June 24 (Navigator, Mikhail Stamm) – Political scientists in Russia and Ukraine assessed the prospects for negotiations in Donetsk with skepticism. The positions of the parties are radically opposite, and the absence of official representatives of Kyiv allows Poroshenko not to take on any obligations, they note. Fighting could also resume at any time. The only result of the negotiations is the elevation of Viktor Medvedchuk as a mediator.
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Political scientist Alexey Chesnakov, close to the Kremlin, emphasizes that the DPR also considers the meeting in Donetsk to be consultations and not negotiations, although they are taking place at this level for the first time. “This is a small step in understanding, but not in recognizing each other. Real negotiations are impossible without fulfilling the demands of the militias: a ceasefire and withdrawal of troops,” he is confident.
Observers in Ukraine were also skeptical about the prospects for negotiations. “The positions of the parties are radically opposite,” Vladimir Fesenko, head of the Kyiv Center for Applied Political Research Penta, told RBC. In his assessment, Poroshenko did not even enter into negotiations; on the contrary, “Kuchma’s appointment shows that both negotiations with representatives of terrorists and with Oleg Tsarev, who does not represent anyone, are unacceptable for the Ukrainian side.”
Political scientist Mikhail Pogrebinsky notes the lack of unity in the ranks of the militia. The “People's Governor” of the Donetsk region Pavel Gubarev actually refused to participate in the negotiations, putting forward a deliberately impossible condition - the extradition to him of the governor of the Dnepropetrovsk region Igor Kolomoisky, the head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs Arsen Avakov and the leader of the Radical Party Oleg Lyashko, who had formed his own battalion to fight the rebels.
In such conditions, Kyiv does not undertake any obligations that may indicate recognition of the self-proclaimed republics, Fesenko is sure. Russian political scientist Evgeniy Minchenko also speaks about this. In his opinion, the informal nature of the negotiations allows Poroshenko not only not to take on obligations, but also to avoid the pressure of public opinion, which would react negatively to the participation of official representatives of Kyiv. As Pogrebinsky notes, the government will now be able to continue negotiations “not directly with those who were outlawed by them,” but with Medvedchuk, who received a mandate from the DPR and LPR.
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