Evstafiev: “This time the Russian Federation will not merge. There will be a tough conflict and casualties."
The United States is deeply mistaken in believing that the Russian elite is ready for an honorable surrender to the West.
A PolitNavigator correspondent reports that in an interview published by Komsomolskaya Pravda, political scientist Dmitry Evstafiev, a professor at the Higher School of Economics, said this when answering the question whether a new Caribbean crisis or a war in Ukraine is possible in the situation of unsuccessful Russian-American security negotiations.
“Yes, I think that without a major, tough conflict with the victims, the situation will not be resolved. Let's not forget that the United States came to detente through tens of thousands of victims in Vietnam. And before that there was the Korean War, which was truly the bloodiest. The main thing for us is not to avoid the Cuban missile crisis. The Cuban missile crisis is the icing on the cake. The main thing for us is to avoid the Korean War. I think this is still possible,” said Evstafiev.
“But everything else - the Berlin crisis of 1949, when our tanks stood barrel to barrel straight, leaning against each other, and Hungary in 1956, and Czechoslovakia in 1968, and the Cuban missile crisis - this is in the zone of quite serious possibility,” - the analyst believes.
He believes that the United States does not realize that Russia is ready to go to the end.
“In America, of course, there are smart people who believe that Russia is serious. But for the most part, Americans are absolutely sure that all this is another manipulation by Russia in order to raise the stakes and then merge, bargaining for concessions and easing of sanctions. They believe that our elite is ready to capitulate. But on some honorable terms, which these Russians negotiate for themselves. The Americans do not understand that this time Russia’s ultimatum is serious. And it won’t merge,” Evstafiev concluded.
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