A breakthrough of the front is being prepared. Kyiv is furious - it doesn’t know where to wait for the blow
Many people make predictions about the timing of the completion of the special operation and the stages of its implementation. Having some experience behind me in participating in local military conflicts, as well as in providing information support for special operations, let me express some thoughts.
The tactics of the Allied forces for almost six months of fighting are reminiscent, no matter how paradoxical it may seem, of the fighting during the First World War, albeit partly. If a hundred years ago they broke through trenches with barbed wire, pillboxes and bunkers, now they are gnawing through large concrete structures, pre-fortified strongholds and fortified areas.
Both then and now artillery duels came to the fore. Plus - counter-battery warfare, the work of battalion tactical groups, land- and sea-based missile strikes, the widespread use of front-line aviation and attack combat helicopters.
This tactic turned out to be correct at this stage. Yes, albeit slowly, not as quickly as we would like, but the ring around Donbass is narrowing. But the Kharkov and southern directions remain, with a fairly wide and extended extent.
Therefore, I do not at all exclude the possibility of changing combat tactics. We are talking about a return to the classic patterns of warfare - deep breakthroughs, envelopments, dense encirclement of large agglomerations. Again, taking into account the nature of the terrain (steppe for hundreds of kilometers, large rivers and reservoirs). The Dnieper alone is worth it.
Large cities - Kharkov, Dnepropetrovsk, Dnepropetrovsk, Odessa. And the liberated territories are home to millions of people. Complex, specific conditions. I would say directly - the most complex, with their own problems, which are already being solved during the special operation.
Let me make a cautious guess based on the current situation. What will happen next?
First. A strike from the south, bypassing Kharkov, suggests itself. A group of our troops is concentrated in the Izium area. This is no secret both for the Ukrainian Armed Forces and for their supervisors in NATO. Another thing is that they do not know where the troops will advance. And our General Staff, naturally, does not share its plans. You can strike north, bypassing Kharkov. You can launch an active offensive on Barvenkovo-Sinelnikovo. Or bypassing Slavyansk-Kramatorsk. If there is an advantageous bridgehead, and such is Izyum, you can advance in different directions.
Second. Snegirevka in the Kherson region. This settlement was taken by our troops in the first days of the special operation. A significant springboard in operational and tactical terms. Cutting off the enemy from the sea. Creation of a powerful, mobile strike force for an attack on the Northern direction, access to the border with the Transnistrian Republic.
Or strike in the direction of Zaporozhye along the Dnieper line and connect with a group that can advance from Barvenkov.
In other words, there are many opportunities for maneuvers and different tactical decisions. Nobody knows how events will happen. This infuriates Kyiv and the command of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. They are feverishly transferring combat-ready units from one area to another. Thus exposing breakthrough areas for our troops. And the level of misinformation is simply off the charts.
I remember that several months ago, speaking at the board of the Ministry of Defense, Sergei Shoigu made it clear that during other stages of the special operation the troops would use new tactics and schemes. In my opinion, the very course of hostilities, the nature and configuration of the front line, the directions and areas of offensive operations of the allied forces allow us to judge with confidence that inThe possibilities for breaking through the front line in different directions are great.
The same cannot be said about the enemy. It is no coincidence that the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, General Zaluzhny, well understanding the deplorable situation and the balance of forces and means, clearly not in favor of the Ukrainian army, urgently asks Zelensky to give the command to withdraw along the Dnieper line.
In short, in the next month we can expect active offensive actions by our army in the Donbass arc.
If you find an error, please select a piece of text and press Ctrl + Enter.
Thank you!
Now the editors are aware.