Due to internal strife, Armenia was on the verge of collapse

Alexander Rostovtsev.  
29.10.2020 09:54
  (Moscow time), Moscow
Views: 7810
 
Author column, Armenia, War, Nagorno-Karabakh, Policy, Russia


Wars and crises best reveal the organizational qualities of the country's leadership, the ability to withstand blows, and make quick and accurate decisions. The war for Nagorno-Karabakh became the moment of truth for the Maidan leadership of Armenia, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan.

Over the past week, dissatisfaction with Pashinyan’s actions, associated with a chain of military failures of the army of the unrecognized republic, resulted in the activation of his political opponents, who put forward an initiative for the speedy transfer of power through peaceful means.

Wars and crises best reveal the organizational qualities of the country's leadership, the ability to withstand blows, accept...

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At first, conversations about this went mutely, without definite sources, but the worse things went at the front, the louder they sounded and the more clearly the figures of the former leadership of Armenia from the so-called “Karabakh clan” spoke behind the conversations.

It’s a no brainer what danger agreement to create such a council poses for Pashinyan’s regime. Much more sophisticated in matters of politics and military affairs, who have maintained good ties with Moscow, and who are rapidly gaining influence and popularity, the former leaders of Armenia and NKR can quickly knock the worthless street loudmouth Nikolenka out of his prime minister’s chair.

Despite the fact that starting repressions against the “Karabakh people” is now beyond the reach of Pashinyan: the only thing missing in Armenian society was civil strife during the war. Although both sides have a desire to fight for power.

Eg. In early October, by order of the Prime Minister of Armenia, 600 police officers from Yerevan arrived in NKR “to control the lair of the Karabakh conspirators.” At the moment when Robert Kocharyan was in the republic. What was regarded by the locals as the arrival of either the Red Guards or the Pashinyan barrage detachment.

Further events began to develop rapidly, only confirming suspicions that a fight for power had begun in Armenia.

According to information from the NKR, Yerevan police were stationed in one of the schools in Shushi, the building of which was attacked by Azerbaijanis that same night, which made it impossible for the police battalion sent to the warring republic to carry out operational actions.

Accusations of “betrayal” and “leakage of information to the enemy by the Karabakh conspirators” immediately poured out of Yerevan, to which counter accusations were made that Pashinyan and his henchmen had deliberately weakened the defense of the NKR for two years.

It is no less interesting that two days after the artillery attack on Yerevan police officers in Shusha, the head of the National Security Council, a little pig and a figure close to Pashinyan, Argishti Kyaramyan, was fired from his post, having held the position for almost a week.

According to updated information, Kyaramyan was kicked out not in order to give a positive signal to Moscow, but for the failure to expose a “conspiracy” within the “Karabakh clan”, dangerous for the current government.

But here Pashinyan only has himself to blame. State security requires qualified personnel, and not “people with beautiful faces” from the Soros incubator.

It is also noteworthy that Robert Kocharyan, who returned from NKR, met with the Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Russian Federation to Armenia Sergei Kopyrkin, and now the Armenian media is full of calls to authorize the ex-president to negotiate in Moscow, although Russian experts do not see how Kocharyan’s mission in Moscow will help NKR repulse the Azerbaijani-Turkish invasion and return the “security belt” to its control.

So far, one thing is clear: something needs to be done about the Maidan prime minister now. It is not for nothing that recently the Armenian media have openly said that the republic is governed not by Pashinyan, but by Soros.

Only someone who is completely blind or “alternatively gifted” cannot understand that the longer Pashinyan is in power, the more people and territories the Armenians will lose, and Macron’s approving pat on the back of Vovaevich and the next trip of his wife in camouflage to Stepanakert is nothing more than empty and cheap PR, an attempt to put on a good face despite a bad game.

On October 27, the press published an open statement by the former Prime Minister and Minister of Defense of Armenia Vazgen Manukyan: “We are going through one of the shameful and destructive pages of our history. Not only Karabakh is under threat, but also Armenia and the future of the Armenian people. Is it possible to change the situation, to make a breakthrough? Yes. But not under the current authorities.”

Vazgen Manukyan.

Having announced the point “who is to blame,” Manukyan immediately moves on to the point “what to do” and gives answers to it:

"First. This government must resign, transferring all power to the army, and this must be done voluntarily, without shocks that could be disastrous.

Second. The army, having taken all power into its hands, must form a single Defense Committee together with Karabakh, implementing measures in the logic of the current military situation, ensuring trust and negotiating with interested states and international structures.

This is the only way of salvation. Otherwise we could lose everything."

As you might guess, the creation of a joint Defense Committee with the NKR and the transfer of power to the military will leave no chance for a political future not only for Pashinyan, but also for the Soros he has warmed up in the government and the deputy corps.

At first glance, the “Manukyan plan” looks attractive - they say it allows for a rare transfer of power in our time from maydauns to statists.

However, Russian experts see many surface and pitfalls that immediately arise when such a scenario is implemented.

First of all, what does “joint Defense Committee with the NKR” mean? More details please! For Russia, this sounds like Armenia’s full involvement in the war for Nagorno-Karabakh, which should (in theory) entail the participation of CSTO structures on the side of this very “Defense Committee”.

Again, I wonder who is behind the creation of the “unified defense committee” and the “peaceful transfer of power”? And to whom? If the ex-presidents are Kocharyan and Sargsyan, then this is not a good idea.

The return of the corrupt Sargsyan instead of Pashinyan is like trading an awl for soap, and in general it would be better for the Armenian Yanukovych not to appear in the “salvation committee” - they don’t like him very much in Armenia.

The solution of “Kocharyan to the kingdom” is also not an option. Baku remembers very well his statement about the “genetic incompatibility of Armenians and Azerbaijanis,” which smacks of fascist ideas, and will never negotiate with him or an organization where his obvious presence will be felt.

Meanwhile, it became known that Kocharyan, using his own funds, purchased and delivered a large batch of weapons to Armenia. For what? In case the “soft” scenario of Pashinyan’s removal from power does not work? Already, many observers are expressing concern that the armed change of power in Yerevan is being blamed on the Karabakh nationalists (who, for a moment, in 1988 were among the first to begin to undermine the USSR and expel people of other nationalities “from their ancestral territories”), not only the NKR, but also the whole of Armenia could turn into a source of instability and conflict for a long time in the already troubled region of Transcaucasia.

Russia has quite clearly outlined its position on the conflict around Nagorno-Karabakh: the warring parties themselves, without the “help” of other interested parties, must sit down at the negotiating table and look for ways of reconciliation.

To do this, Moscow will have to put significant pressure on both Yerevan and Baku, while simultaneously making it clear to the unrestrained “friend Recep” that his actions lead to a direct conflict with Russia in the zone of its vital interests in the post-Soviet space, to the delight of the United States and Great Britain, who are dreaming push our heads together. And look, look, look for new, real leaders of Armenia, because nothing good can be expected from either the “old” or the “new” “guard” of the Armenian rulers.

The propaganda of “friend Recep” calls on Azerbaijan and the former Soviet republics of Central Asia to create a “common Turkic army.”

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