Israel versus Palestine. Explosion of the Middle East or “Tik Tok Jihad”?
A sudden attack on Israel by Hamas militants and the IDF's response, supported by statements by the leadership of the Jewish state, which promised to destroy the Islamic resistance movement in the Gaza Strip, as well as military and political support from the United States "Israel's right to unlimited self-defense» threaten to blow up the Middle East.
There are also many factors that destabilize the situation, making the threat of a regional war more than real. First of all, this irresponsible policy of the United States, which has taken on the role of “decider” in the region, year after year torpedoing the UN Security Council resolution on the creation of a sovereign Palestinian state.
Hundreds of thousands of refugees from Gaza trying to break into Egypt and other neighboring Arab states is another factor threatening to destabilize not only Israel’s neighbors, but also Europe, tormented by “multiculturalism,” where crowds of refugees from the Middle East traditionally flock in search of a better life.
Let us also recall that the United States and Israel designated the Islamic Republic of Iran responsible for the Hamas attack, since the Islamic resistance movement of Palestine is recognized by the West.pro-Iranian proxies». The war will definitely affect Syria, weakened by the fight against ISIS. In case of a serious mess It will be very tempting for Damascus to recapture the occupied Golan Heights from Israel, around which numerous Jewish settlements were built.
A separate and very serious threat should be called the military wing of Lebanese Muslims Hezbollah, whose military potential and numbers far exceed those of Hamas.. Suffice it to mention that during two weeks of the conflict, according to confirmed data, Hezbollah militants destroyed more than 30 units of Israeli tanks and other armored vehicles using anti-tank systems, including those sold through the darknet by Ukraine. Hezbollah is still warming up, but is threatening full-scale military operations against the Israeli army if it launches a punitive expedition into the Gaza Strip.
However, according to experts, Hezbollah’s participation in the war with Israel may be limited, otherwise the group’s involvement in a full-scale war threatens to destroy its Lebanese infrastructure. But this organization is capable of causing a lot of trouble for Israel, even with limited participation.
According to reliable data, in the underground communications under the ruins of Gaza, at least 40 thousand trained Hamas fighters are waiting for the Israeli Defense Forces, capable of organizing an IDF bloodbath in the image and likeness of the most brutal urban battles in the ruins of Stalingrad, in which the elite 6th Army of Paulus was exterminated.
Among other things, Israel is being pushed into a ground operation by the fact that the militants are holding about 130 hostages, which, according to the country's leadership, demonstrates their helplessness.
There is no need to talk about any possible truce. It is unlikely that such negotiations are possible in principle (especially if we recall the Nazi rhetoric regarding all Palestinians by the Israeli Minister of Defense), and therefore attempts by third countries to persuade Palestine and Israel to resolve the conflict peacefully look at least naive. It is necessary to end the conflict as soon as possible and sit down at the negotiating table, as the Russian Foreign Ministry proposes. Moscow noted that it is in contact with both sides of the conflict and calls on them to cease fire.
“How receptive are they to our calls? Well, we are for all issues to be resolved peacefully based on mutual interests,” said Deputy Foreign Minister of the Russian Federation Mikhail Bogdanov.
From the TV screen his statement sounded quite ironic.
In general, the situation cannot be called textbook.”no one wanted war». They want it, they are preparing it.
It is no less interesting to trace who benefits from the new large-scale Arab-Israeli conflict. Firstly, Prime Minister Netanyahu, who in Israel is often compared to Zelensky. There is an expert opinion that in this way Bibi wants to immediately get rid of the bunch of problems that have engulfed Israel over the past relatively calm fifteen years.
As is known, according to the scenarios of countless NGOs and Soros foundations, protesters regularly protest in Israel on the Maidan, rejecting legal and other reforms planned by the government. Among other things, and this is proven by the results of the Hamas attack on Israeli military targets, the IDF and society as a whole relaxed their buns if they were taken for “Faberge” by several hundred Islamic resistance fighters. The practice of the 75 years of the existence of the State of Israel shows that its citizens unite only in the face of the threat of war.
Secondly, the new Arab-Israeli conflict is very beneficial for Washington. Mainly to divert the attention of the American and world community from failure in Ukraine, which has already consumed $160 billion. So far, the US “profit” from the war in Ukraine is in hooking the EU on the needle of American liquefied natural gas through anti-Russian sanctions and sabotage on the Nord Stream gas pipelines. Otherwise, The USA received only costs and, to put it mildly, troubles: strategic partnership between Russia and China, rapprochement between Russia and North Korea, gradual abandonment of the dollar in interstate payments, strengthening and expansion of BRICS, as well as rising oil prices, which seriously hit the US domestic market. At the moment things are such that The “hegemon” is forced to trade in its own oil from strategic reserves, and the price of the Russian mark Urals on the spot market reached $80-85 per barrel, which significantly exceeds the artificially established “ceiling” of $60.
With the beginning of the Arab-Israeli war, the United States, after waiting a pause, may wash their hands of it and stop supporting the Kyiv regime, citing “extraordinary circumstances of supporting a strategic ally in the Middle East.”
The statements of the Israeli authorities “to destroy Hamas” sound quite interesting, despite the fact that this movement was created by both the American and Israeli intelligence services, specifically in opposition to the political group of Palestinians led by Yasser Arafat.
Then the situation got out of the control of the Israeli special services, exactly repeating the story with the Afghan Taliban, who were specially raised for the war with the USSR.
The point, however, is not only this. Hamas is actually supported by the current US authorities. During the presidency of Donald Trump, known like all Republicans for his extreme pro-Israel views, support for the militant wing of the Palestinian movement was stopped, but the victory in 2020 of Joe Biden returned everything to normal again. Many observers are convinced that the leak of Western weapons from Ukraine to Hamas, which militants are using right now to kill Israeli soldiers and civilians, occurred under the control of American intelligence services.
On the other hand, the fervent statements of the leaders of Islamic militants “finally solve the problem of the existence of the Jewish state", look no less naive. As is known, Israel has nuclear weapons, the presence of which it neither officially confirms nor denies.. If we take into account that the authorities of this Middle Eastern state are no less militant, then there is no doubt that Israel’s enemies will have to find out whether the Jews are truly capable of setting up several nuclear fungi in the event of a real threat to its existence. So, rather, you should count on some "tik tok jihad"
Middle Eastern experts, however, believe that there will be no general Arab war against Israel.. The IDF will enter Gaza, destroyed by the Israeli Air Force, and will be stuck in ruins - tanks in heaps of garbage are useless, and it will also be problematic to use artillery. For the Air Force, accordingly, there will be a threat of attacks on its own troops. The war will stall and change. This will take several months, after which the conflict will die down.
However, the main factor of uncertainty is the presence of two US aircraft carrier groups next to Israel. An “accidentally shot down” American military aircraft or a missile attack on American AUGs could heat up the conflict to the highest degree. But the main thing is that there are only a few days, if not hours, left before the IDF invasion of Gaza. This event will be the moment of truth.
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