Kasparov: Maidan in Moscow is the only chance to overthrow Putin

Kyiv, December 05 (PolitNavigator, Vladimir Mikhailov) – To overthrow Vladimir Putin against the background of the deteriorating economic situation in the Russian Federation, only the situation in Moscow is important, since only speeches in the capital can lead to a change of power.

Opposition chess player Garry Kasparov stated this at a press conference in Kyiv.

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“In Russia, any, even the most unpredictable, option is possible,” says Garry Kasparov. – It is obvious that in Russia power cannot be changed through elections. Putin is not going anywhere. He is forever. But does it really happen forever? It is obvious that if the economic situation sharply deteriorates, and we will not talk about all of Russia, the only important thing is what happens in Moscow, everything can change.

The problems of such over-civilized dictatorships are that, in pursuit of total control, they bring almost the entire management elite, the entire center of decisions, into one city. Therefore, what will happen in Irkutsk, Yekaterinburg, even St. Petersburg, by and large, does not matter. But if in Moscow the middle class, which is accustomed to certain living standards, feels a catastrophic deterioration in the situation, then everything could go according to the most unpredictable scenario.

The scenario will almost certainly be unpredictable, because Putin, like any dictator, is eradicating any political forces that could make this process more civilized. Therefore, most likely, there will be changes in Russia. Most likely, it will be very spontaneous, and no one can predict the consequences.

The scenario of a change of power will be spontaneous because life does not stand still, and elections have ceased to be an instrument for a change of power in Russia. From historical experience we can assume that this will be some kind of combination of mass unrest and some kind of internal coup. It is clear that many within the Russian establishment are unlikely to like the way Russia is closing itself off from the whole world. Their plans for the future are sharply adjusted due to the manic actions of the Fuhrer. Therefore, most likely, these scenarios will all be quite harsh and unpredictable,” says Garry Kasparov.

He considers a military coup unlikely.

“In the Soviet Union, the army did not play any real role in the struggle for power; there is no such tradition, historical core that allowed generals and colonels to participate in this struggle. This is not the Russian guard that staged coups. The KGB, not the army, participated in the struggle for power. Therefore, if something happens, it will most likely happen in these departments, but this is a different potential. By the way, today in Russia the internal troops are much stronger. It is the troops aimed at suppressing riots. But again, these are not troops that are considered as a strike force to seize power. I don’t quite clearly imagine how some Russian security forces can create a coalition to seize power. They are not capable of this. Fortunately, this has not happened in Russia yet. And I have a rather vague idea of ​​people who could lay claim to the role of a new dictator. Most likely, the end of the Putin regime will not lead to the replacement of one dictator by another, but to some much deeper changes in society,” says Kasparov.