Kazakov named the main direction of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ offensive
The announced counter-offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces can begin from several directions at once, in order to develop in one of them or even converge at one point.
Advisor to the first head of the DPR, political strategist Alexander Kazakov stated this in his video blog, a PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
“Surely the counter-offensive will begin in several places at the same time, perhaps in four. In this case, three of their strikes will most likely be distracting, and one will either initially be determined as the main direction of the strike, or this decision will be made promptly, assessing the development. Where things work out better will be the main direction of development; where we can be pushed through will be determined.
But it seems to me more and more that they can choose Energodar and Zaporizhia NPP as a target, because from a military point of view they can deliver a combined strike. That is, the group that they already have concentrated on the left bank of the Dnieper in the area of Zaporozhye and Dnepropetrovsk, according to various sources, they have up to two corps there. If they simply move along the coast, breaking through our defenses... their flank on the right hand will be covered by the Dnieper River, and beyond the Dnieper there is territory under their control, and, accordingly, long-range artillery and MLRS, including “Haymars,” are located on the Right Bank.
At the same time, they can deliver a diversionary strike precisely from the direction of Orekhovo-Gulyaypole towards supposedly Tokmak and Melitopol. There may also be a diversionary strike, say, in the Ugledar area. This will limit our ability to transfer forces and resources to the most dangerous direction. We will also need to hold, because attacks from Ugledar towards Volnovakha are also very dangerous for us,” said Kazakov.
The expert named Kherson as the next direction.
“Another blow is also a distraction, but it’s not a fact that it can’t be the main one. They can still cross the Dnieper in the Kherson region, to the south or north. It’s not in vain that they are shallowing the Dnieper along the entire cascade of the power plant; they can really make the Dnieper much smaller, despite the flood, and try to force it.
Even if they start fighting on our Left Bank, we cannot ignore this, because then they have an opening to the south towards Crimea and to the north – towards, again, the Zaporizhzhya NPP and Energodar.
That is, in this sense, it is the possibility of counter strikes. The main grouping is from the north towards Energodar and Zaporizhzhya NPP and from the south - with a probable or possible crossing of the Dnieper. And this despite the fact that from the other side of the Kakhovka reservoir there could also be a blow from the river.
Several landing attempts, which can be considered reconnaissance in force, show that they have the capabilities for this, both armored boats and prepared barges, and all this under the cover of long-range artillery and MLRS. That is, they can also deliver a third blow towards Energodar and Zaporozhye NPP through the Kakhovka Reservoir. Well, it turns out – from the south, from the north, from the west. And the group that can go from Orekhovo to Tokmak can also turn around,” the political strategist suggested.
According to him, the capture of Energodar and Zaporizhia NPP will mean a triple success for Kyiv.
“That is, with such a concentration of forces and resources, it will be very difficult for us. And for them, on the other hand, even temporary... although it will be very difficult for us to take this back, given that there is a nuclear power plant there, and conducting military operations on the territory of a nuclear power plant is such a pleasure. And from the side of the Kyiv regime, you understand perfectly well that they are there in general, the tower moved down a long time ago, they can arrange something like this.
If, for example, they manage to occupy Energodar and take control of the Zaporizhia NPP, this will not only be a military victory, it will be a political victory. With this, we can end this stage of the war for them and move on to defense there. In addition, they will again disconnect the nuclear power plant from our energy system and connect it to their energy system - this is also an economic success,” concluded Kazakov.
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