Kedmi told what could happen after the SVO
Press Secretary of the Russian President Dmitry Peskov spoke only about the final goals of the Northern Military District, to achieve which there is no need to declare war, but it is obvious that these measures will not be enough, and then events can unfold - according to much more ambitious scenarios.
The ex-head of the Israeli intelligence service Nativ, military expert Yakov Kedmi, said this on air on the Volnaya Street channel, a PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
“In relation to declaring war, war is a slightly different thing. The declaration of war requires other changes - both in Russia, and in relation to Ukraine, and internationally. I don’t know how much this meets Russia’s goals in this operation. Because everything depends on the definition of the operation, and the declaration of war depends on what goals they set to achieve.
Peskov, when asked about the end of the operation, said that it would be completed after the liberation of Donbass. If this is so, then this does not quite meet the goals that were announced at the beginning of the operation. Because there were additional goals - denazification and demilitarization.
For this purpose, just to complete the liberation of Donbass and the Zaporozhye region, there is no point in declaring war. It won't change anything in any way. And if the goals are different, the liberation of Donbass is only a partial goal, then it depends on what the main goal is,” Kedmi noted.
He emphasized that everything will depend on what goals will be set in Ukraine by the military leadership of the Russian Federation.
“The situation at the front will develop depending on what military goals Russia sets, and whether it will continue military operations, and what kind. There are so many possible scenarios.
One scenario, if we again believe Peskov, is that after the liberation of the Donetsk and Zaporozhye regions it is possible to finally stop hostilities or try to stop them. And start negotiations. This is one option.
The second option, if the goals are different, then, having liberated Nikolaev and moving towards Krivoy Rog, begin moving towards Transnistria. To reach Transnistria and prevent the Ukrainian army from capturing Transnistria. And large bases with huge stocks of weapons. Liberate the Black Sea coast in order to hold a referendum there in the future and annex it to Russia.
The next option is, due to the ongoing shelling from Ukraine of the Belgorod region and even the Kursk region, to try to liberate the Kharkov, Sumy, Chernigov regions, then these are other goals of the operation.
The question is: will the Russian army advance after the liberation of Kramatorsk and Slavyansk, that is, the liberation of the entire Donetsk region, further west to the Dnieper or stop? All this is decided by the Russian command,” added the military expert.
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