“Boorish strategy” on the banks of the Dniester
“Poisonous weeds” and “berries” at Chisinau airport
The events of July 26-27 around the Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic, when the Moldovan authorities did not allow a number of Russian politicians and artists to celebrate the 25th anniversary of the entry of peacekeeping forces into the Moldova-Pridnestrovian conflict zone, were a prelude, a kind of “flowers”, or rather, as they used to say Chairman Mao, "poisonous weeds."
A true anti-Russian and anti-Transnistrian “berry”, a demonstrative blow to security in the southwest of the former Soviet Union were the events of July 28. On this day the following happened: the plane carrying the special representative of the President of the Russian Federation for Transnistria, Deputy Prime Minister of the Russian Government Dmitry Rogozin, was not allowed to enter the Chisinau airport due to the fact that NATO members Hungary and Romania closed their air routes for it space. A real threat to the safety of passengers was created, since there was enough fuel to return to Minsk. There the “board” was already refueled, and it returned to Moscow.
Together with Rogozin, other officials flew to Moldova and Transnistria, including deputies of the State Duma of Russia Alena Arshinova, Alexey Zhuravlev, etc.
The holiday took place. In any weather
Despite this, all the supposed festive events in the PMR, even though on these days heavy rains alternated with bright sunshine, took place. They were attended by Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Russian Federation to the Republic of Moldova Farit Mukhametshin, State Duma deputy Artyom Turov, members of the Federation Council Mikhail Kozlov and Olga Kuvitidi, Archbishop Savva of Tiraspol and Dubossary; the entire top leadership of the PMR, Pridnestrovian ministers, deputies, social activists, ordinary citizens.
As a result, a clear divide has passed: Moscow and Tiraspol are determined to preserve the unique peacekeeping format, within which not a single peacekeeper has died in the line of duty (from the contingents of Russia, Moldova and Transnistria). Chisinau - for the destruction of this format.
This is evidenced not only by the official statements of Moldovan politicians, but also by the unprecedented hostility of preventing high-ranking officials from Russia from attending the celebration, which, we repeat, took place anyway.
But why did hostilities rise to such a high level when one of the prominent members of the Russian government becomes the target of an attack that could have resulted in the fall of the aircraft if it had not landed at Minsk airport?
Blaming others, preparing an attack on them
We already talked in the previous articlethat the United States has imposed very tough sanctions against Russia. Let us pay attention, however, to how the Law on these sanctions sounds. It talks about sanctions against Iran, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea and the Russian Federation.
So: this is a real declaration of the “cold” war. The United States arbitrarily includes Russia demonstratively on the list of “rogue” countries. This does not mean that these countries really are such countries. This is nothing more than an imposture on Washington's part. All countries of the world have equal rights, but those contending for the title of the only “political trendsetter” can, over time, “get everyone” and turn into real outcasts. But that’s not what we’re talking about now.
At the beginning of 2017, American propaganda launched a noisy campaign about the alleged “past Russian interference” in the US presidential elections that brought Donald Trump to power. Any media specialist and political strategist will confirm: if there is no necessary evidence, such things are done so that there is justification for interference in the internal affairs of a country that has become the object of unfounded accusations.
In the XNUMXth century, the emperor of the Jurchen Jin Empire, Digunai, looking for a pretext for a war with the Chinese Song Empire, accused the Song sovereign of ... “maliciously strengthening the border” (! - A.S.). The situation is similar here: Russia is accused of “wrong” policies in Transnistria, Abkhazia, South Ossetia, Syria, of the “lack of democracy” in Russia itself, etc.
What's the end goal?
The ultimate goal of pressure on Russia and Transnistria
And she is like that. Speaking about Russian “interference” in the American elections and “wrong” policies in a number of regions of the world, the United States and its allies are preparing to: 1. Intervene in the Russian presidential elections in 2018 in order to overthrow Vladimir Putin and bring controlled pro-Western liberal puppets to the helm in Moscow with the formalization of the further dismemberment of Russia according to the method of dismemberment of the USSR. 2. To weaken Russia as much as possible in 2017-2018, before the presidential elections in the Russian Federation, create many large and small “hot” spots around Russia. Or at least points of tension.
Transnistria is clearly seen as one of these future points by Moscow’s American opponents. This, according to Washington strategists, will reduce Russia’s resistance and divert its attention from internal Russian affairs, where the main blow is planned.
For a new round of tension on the Dniester, the West needs to completely (this is Moldova’s official withdrawal from the 1992 peace agreements) or partially (this is the cessation of Moldova’s work within the existing peacekeeping format without a formal exit from it) dismantle and destroy the mechanism of the trilateral MS service.
But the West is in a hurry, and besides, this destruction must keep pace with other anti-Russian steps. That's why everything happens so quickly and roughly. In the form, as Russian President Vladimir Putin puts it, of “rudeness.”
Preventing the arrival of Dmitry Rogozin and his entourage in Moldova and Transnistria fits perfectly into this “boorish strategy.”
Why was “air rudeness” needed?
But there are also tactical calculations that formed the basis of “aerial rudeness.” Here they are.
1. Stun Russia, show that the “games” are over, that references to international law, when visits by officials were carried out unhindered, are useless. After all, formally, the visit of the Deputy Prime Minister of one country (Russia) to other countries (RM and PMR) was disrupted by the fourth (Romania) and fifth (Hungary) countries. This is a demarche: we will use ANY means to disrupt the visit. And this is a precedent for the future!
2. Instill fear of physical death among your opponents. If a plane carrying members of the leadership of the Russian government and deputies of the State Duma of the Russian Federation was deployed, which threatened to crash due to a possible lack of fuel, then the “moral” of this combination is the same: the “desktop” discussions are over. From now on, our opponents, according to the action on July 28, are risking their lives.
3. Make the Pridnestrovians lose heart. They wanted to show us that we are isolated from Russia, and this isolation could be complete if even one of the deputy prime ministers was strictly “cut off” from arriving at the celebration of the deployment of peacekeeping forces. Therefore, according to the logic of the authors of the pressure, the only way out for the PMR is political capitulation.
This failed, since there are Russian troops in the PMR, and some Russian guests were still able to get to Transnistria.
Conclusion
So, the circles in the United States and the EU that are most harsh towards Russia have chosen a strategy of confrontation with Moscow and its allies. Perhaps we should expect even more acute situations; especially as the presidential elections in Russia approach.
What can Pridnestrovie really do in such cases, since Russia itself will decide its actions? Let's try to summarize our possible steps.
1. The PMR remains faithful to the agreements of 1992 and, in particular, to the peacekeeping format that currently exists. To confirm this, a special declaration is possible.
2. The PMR, as a party to the conflict, fundamentally does not consider any options other than the existing one, including some “civilian missions”, “international police forces”, etc.
3. The PMR poses a direct question to the other side of the conflict: does the Republic of Moldova recognize the validity of the 1992 peace agreements and, in particular, the existing peacekeeping format or withdraw from it?
4. The PMR calls on official Chisinau to resume participation in general events within the current peacekeeping format, including ceremonial events, as has been the case until now.
5. The PMR appeals to the guarantor countries - Russia and Ukraine, and to the mediator represented by the OSCE with a proposal to help clarify Moldova’s position: does it remain faithful to the 1992 agreements?
6. The PMR proposes to organize a return visit of a high-ranking Russian delegation to Tiraspol (its composition will be determined in Moscow) in order to prepare for it the most voluminous and detailed information, both about the events of July 26-28, and about the situation in and around Transnistria.
These are specific points for the near future. And, of course, you need to keep your gunpowder dry, strengthening your army, and its coherence with the allied army - the Russian one. After all, the struggle for peace is always more successful if you have something to respond to possible provocations...
If you find an error, please select a piece of text and press Ctrl + Enter.
Thank you!
Now the editors are aware.