Crimean experts argue about Hrach’s chances of returning to big politics

04.07.2014 13:59
  (Moscow time)
Views: 909
 
Crimea, Policy, Story of the day, Ukraine


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Simferopol, July 04 (Navigator, Kirill Boyarin) – Former speaker of the Crimean parliament Leonid Grach will attempt to return to politics in the September elections in company with other political retirees. For about a month now, billboards of his new project, the Communists of Russia party, have been hanging on the streets of Crimean cities. Theoretically, her participation in the elections is beneficial to United Russia, since Grach will help split the votes of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, which is claiming second place in the republic.

Simferopol, July 04 (Navigator, Kirill Boyarin) – Ex-speaker of the Crimean parliament Leonid Grach at the September...

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In total, the Crimean branch of the Communists of Russia approved 57 candidates, most of whom are pensioners. The first number is Leonid Ivanovich himself, the second is the party chairman, Muscovite Maxim Suraikin. The top five also included the former head of the Chernomorneftegaz department, and now an entrepreneur, the son of Leonid Grach Alexey, and the ex-Minister of Family and Youth Affairs of Crimea Tatyana Yezhova. Let us remember that at one time she became a defendant in a criminal case under Art. 172 part 1 of the Criminal Code of Ukraine (“Illegal dismissal of an employee from work for personal reasons, as well as other gross violation of labor legislation”) due to the fact that she untimely issued work books to two employees of a communist newspaper. Former Deputy Prime Minister of Crimea Yuri Kornilov closes the top five.

Before the annexation of Crimea to Russia, Leonid Grach, we recall, headed the Communist Party of Workers and Villagers, which former comrades from the Communist Party of Ukraine called a clone.

Navigator found out from Crimean political experts what, in their opinion, are the chances of Leonid Grach’s new party getting into the parliament of the republic.

“It seems to me that the Grach project is already a thing of the past. I don’t rate his chances of getting into the State Council of Crimea very highly. During the time when Grach began to create his own, essentially personalized projects, the number of his electorate did not increase. Secondly, his personal support is always higher than the support of his political forces. That is, he has a chance to win in the majority district, but his party, from my point of view, has no chance,” noted political scientist Anatoly Filatov.

“The fact is that the people who usually make up the communist electorate are very ignorant of politics. For him, the main word is “communists.” On the old inertia, Grach may well gain 10%. Moreover, Zyuganov’s communists have not yet shown any activity, and for the Crimean voter Grach is much closer. The Crimean voter himself will be ideologically disorganized in these elections, because the emergence of new parties creates a hodgepodge. I think that the Communist Party of the Russian Federation will not take more than the Hrach party. They will have approximately the same indicators, and maybe Grach will take even more, even though in recent years he has lost influence in Crimea,” says political expert Dmitry Omelchuk.

“Grach has no prospects of entering parliament. The only thing he is capable of is to confuse the mood of the Crimeans, who are ready to vote for the left electorate, and take away votes from the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. But I think that his political force will gain no more than 1,5% of the votes. It is unlikely that he will pass as a majority voter. There was already such an attempt when he competed with the current people’s deputy from the Party of Regions, Vitalina Dzoz, and she won by a large margin. I think that Leonid Ivanovich has already dropped out of big politics, albeit prematurely. It’s just that his line “against everyone” is wrong and does not give results,” says the head of the Crimean expert club, Alexander Formanchuk.

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