Liberals are sad: “Navalny is not able to bring down Putin’s power machine”
Opposition blogger Alexei Navalny is practically nothing inside Russia, and can cause certain troubles for President Vladimir Putin only within the framework of interaction with the West.
Russian liberal political scientist Stanislav Belkovsky stated this in an interview with Ukrainian journalist Alesya Batsman, a PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
“I think that they won’t marry Navalny en masse. I think that if the action on January 23 had been allowed (but, according to my information, it will not be allowed, which means it can only be an unauthorized action), then I think that it would have worked out in the range of 10-12 thousand in Moscow. This is quite a lot by the standards of modern Russia, but this is not mass unrest.
Putin does not see the social basis for the revolution, he does not see Alexei Navalny as the leader of the revolution, perhaps he is right in this. Maybe Alexei has such intentions, intentions, but not a real resource to become the leader of the revolution, he is not a folk hero, not an idol of the people, he is an idol of certain sub-elite groups.
As for the palace coup, in order to carry it out, you don’t need to negotiate with Navalny, here you need to negotiate with Putin’s security, and any external agreements are only harmful, since they contribute to the leakage of information, which is the worst thing in preparing a palace coup,” Belkovsky said.
According to him, Navalny could be dangerous for Putin only within the framework of interaction with the West.
“If someone wanted to use him against Putin, then, most likely, it would be worth keeping him there, because Navalny could be effective in introducing new sanctions against certain subjects of Russian politics and economics, but not as a person who will bring down Putin’s power machine,” the liberal explained.
As for the coup d’état, he said, in this case the country will be led either by the person who carried it out, or by someone from the president’s inner circle, but not by Navalny.
“That is, one way or another, whether Putin leaves quietly and peacefully or leaves due to some excesses that only God knows, but it will be some kind of collective successor, like after the death of Stalin. The leader should be replaced by a collegial successor; this is a logical situation from a historical point of view,” Belkovsky concluded.
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