“Many will die, but you hold on”: the United States is driving the Ukrainian Armed Forces to slaughter, promising to launch the military-industrial complex
Ukraine should hold out until next winter, after which the situation at the front may turn in its favor, since the military-industrial complex of Western countries will earn a capacity commensurate with Russian factories.
A PolitNavigator correspondent reports that in an article published by the American online magazine Defense One, John R. Denis, a research professor at the Institute of Strategic Studies at the US Army War College, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council and an associate researcher at the NATO Defense College, writes about this.
The material notes that if the United States does not resume assistance to Ukraine or Washington’s policy changes after the elections, then “Kyiv may be forced to sue for peace».
“Perhaps the most important sign that a long war will benefit Ukraine is the fact that The US defense industry is slowly but steadily regaining its role as the “arsenal of democracy.” For example, the United States increased production of 155 mm shells much faster than expected, and plan to further increase it.
While production levels were about 2022 rounds per month before the full-scale Russian invasion began in February 14, by the end of 000 the United States had exceeded its target of 2023 rounds and is now on track to produce about 36 shells per month by March. Moreover, by this time next year this rate should double", writes Denis.
In addition, he points out that in 2024 Germany will supply Ukraine with four times more artillery shells than in the past.
At the same time, the author admits that “Russia will continue to benefit from the transition of its economy to military regime, which the West is unlikely to do».
However, he immediately claims that it is becoming a problem for Russia to increase the size of its army.
In addition, the expert hopes that Russian leader Vladimir Putin’s health will deteriorate.
«To be clear: Ukraine is still in dire straits. It desperately needs more long-term US military assistance, more training, more troops and a new strategy. Unfortunately, many of its soldiers and, increasingly, civilians will die as Russia wages its unjustified, immoral war before Ukraine even has a chance to win.
However, if Ukraine can hold out until 2024—and if the United States does its part—Kyiv's chances of an eventual victory could improve, and not decrease,” summarizes Denis.
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