Moscow liberals: Putin will influence Ukraine through the economy and elites, but war is not off the agenda
Russian President Vladimir Putin in the near future, most likely, will use not military methods to put pressure on Ukraine, but other tools - the economy and influence on the Ukrainian elite.
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“Putin has the ability to agree to a freeze and the resources to maintain and escalate it if he needs it. But in the future, the Kremlin will most likely use other instruments of pressure - primarily economic ones and work with the Ukrainian elite.”
At the same time, according to her, attempts to forcefully influence Kyiv are also possible.
“There also remain tools for forcefully destabilizing the situation in Ukraine. For Moscow, Ukraine remains a factor on the domestic agenda. So the calm only means a change in the Kremlin’s tactics, but not its strategy,” Shevtsova added.
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