NATO faced the problem of exhaustion of shells for the Ukrainian Armed Forces
The North Atlantic Alliance faces a real problem: in the near future, the Ukrainian army will experience a serious shortage of shells.
Military analyst, researcher at the Center for North American Studies at IMEMO RAS, and expert at the Russian International Affairs Council Ilya Kramnik comes to this conclusion in his telegram channel.
“Everything that NATO technically and politically could transfer quickly has already been transferred (or is being transferred now). These are quite significant volumes by any standards. The remaining reserves are either technically difficult to extract (very old equipment of the 4th - 5th “scrap metal” category), or politically (they require the transfer of reserves from the availability of first-line units and the 1st-line reserve, that is, a direct weakening of one’s own combat capability),” notes Kramnik .
He points out that the NATO military-industrial complex in recent decades was not preparing for a conflict with the massive use of armored vehicles, cannon artillery and the consumption of ammunition in trains.
"CNBC rightly notes that The annual production volume of shells in the USA is fired in two weeks (note that in our summer peak this volume was fired on other days in 12 hours), and promoting production for such a volume requires time and money.
Now NATO is faced with a very serious question - either to really develop the machine to the fullest extent, or after the depletion of what has already been transferred, Ukraine will face a significant shortage of equipment and ammunition - and this is fraught, taking into account the fact that Russian warehouses were maintained precisely with the expectation of the worst, and The production of such “iron” things as artillery ammunition and artillery materiel in general in our country, thank God, does not depend in any way on imports,” the expert emphasizes.
According to him, superiority in intelligence and a large share of high-precision weapons in these conditions can give Ukraine an advantage, but not a guarantee, especially in the context of a reduction in the numerical superiority of the Armed Forces of Ukraine as the Russian Armed Forces mobilize.
“Conclusion: The Ukrainian Armed Forces will now continue to attempt an offensive in order to secure better negotiating positions for concluding a truce/peace. The absence of such a truce threatens Ukraine with serious problems next year, especially given the unfolding economic crisis, which could significantly affect the industry of a number of NATO countries,” Kramnik sums up.
If you find an error, please select a piece of text and press Ctrl + Enter.
Thank you!
Now the editors are aware.