The new Cuban missile crisis will sober up US diplomacy – American analyst
Washington's national security experts have forgotten how to deal with a nuclear power
About it пишет American analytical publication The National Interest, specializing in military-political topics.
The publication notes that depending on what decision US President Trump makes on Syria in the next day or two, the world may be faced with the largest clash of superpowers since the Cuban missile crisis, which will result in either an unprecedented catastrophe or invaluable experience in preventing such crises in the future.
“Washington national security experts have forgotten the Cold War concepts of nuclear deterrence and the lessons of diplomacy with a nuclear power. Over the past twenty-five years, Washington has become too accustomed to a world without superpowers, where the only real threat comes from terrorism,” the publication writes.
“People have very superficial ideas about the confrontation between superpowers.” Many have no idea about nuclear strategy and nuclear deterrence, not to mention the mechanisms for escalating conflicts. From their conversations alone, one can understand that the game of fighting terrorism and suppressing rebellions has dragged on, and people even at the highest level have simply ceased to understand what they are dealing with. All I hear are some patterns from the 1950s and 1960s,” explains Michael Kofman, an analyst at CNA Corporation and a research fellow at the Kennan Institute.
According to him, perhaps American diplomacy will need a new Cuban missile crisis to finally realize what a confrontation with a nuclear superpower could turn out to be.
“I wouldn’t like to say so, but maybe it’s for the better. I really believe that such a crisis will not hurt - let people grow up at least a little,” Kofman concludes.
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