Pashinyan: leave to return

On October 16, Maidan Prime Minister of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan resigned. He announced this personally on the air of the Public Television of Armenia.

Pashinyan's decision did not come as a surprise. Earlier, speaking at rallies he provoked in support of his beloved, Vovaevich more than once insisted that he would soon resign if the conflict between the legislative and executive authorities of Armenia was not overcome.

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In essence, the prime minister blackmailed his opponents, hinting that laws and parliamentarism are a bald spot if the street is behind you.

This time Pashinyan explained that his resignation was caused by his desire to be re-elected to the post of prime minister “as an adult”, according to the results of early parliamentary elections in December this year.

Pashinyan announced that the elections are scheduled for December Facebook October 14. It also turned out that on October 8, Pashinyan signed the corresponding memorandum - suddenly! – with the leader of the Prosperous Armenia party Gagik Tsarukyan and the head of the Armenian Natsiks from Dashnaktsutyun. Which leads to certain thoughts.

Let us recall that in early October, Pashinyan organized a purge of ministers and governors from these parties who supported the parliamentary amendment to the election law - not to announce the self-dissolution of deputies along with the resignation of the prime minister.

Apparently, the demonstrative beating went well and the “respected people” came to an agreement.

Currently, the alignment in the Armenian parliament is as follows: Pashinyan and Tsarukyan jointly control 40 mandates, while the opposing “republicans” control 50 mandates and insist on holding early parliamentary elections in 2019.

To overcome the veto of the “republicans,” Pashinyan secured the votes of deputies from smaller factions, receiving the coveted 55 votes in his favor. Now Pashinyan has the parliamentary majority and the law in his pocket gives him the right to hold elections at the earliest convenient time.

The resignation of the government has already been signed by the President of Armenia (a British citizen) Armen Sarkissian.

Pashinyan himself does not intend to go far until the December elections, but remains to serve as regent in the place of the prime minister. Warm it up and keep an eye on a warm place while the fuss lasts.

Why did Pashinyan act this way and not otherwise?

Acting sometimes by blackmail, sometimes by cunning, and sometimes by using administrative resources, Pashinyan plans to complete the political transformation of the republic by the end of this year.

All executive power is already in the hands of Pashinyan: the Cabinet of Ministers, security officials, governors. The last threat to his personal well-being at the top of power was the parliament with a “republican” majority loyal to the former president, and then prime minister, Serzh Sargsyan. As long as this balance of power remained, Pashinyan had no reason to dream that his “reformist” wishes would begin to come true.

Now the road is open, but for Pashinyan there is still a danger of losing power, albeit in a weakened form.

It was not for nothing that Pashinyan resigned along with his cabinet, enlisting the support of his allies in parliament and finally stopping the intractable deputies from declaring self-dissolution. Thus he sent the ball to the deputy half of the field, giving them a difficult task.

In the next two weeks, deputies are required by law to either nominate and elect their own candidate for a new prime minister, or dissolve themselves on all four sides.

The task facing the “Republicans” is, frankly speaking, not easy. You will have to negotiate a lot and make compromises in order to take advantage of the given chance.

It seems unlikely that the “Republicans” will be able to agree with the opposition on a candidate for prime minister in less than two weeks, especially after Pashinyan’s conspiracy with his “sworn friends”, Tsarukyan and the Dashnaks.

In any case, the “Republicans” will act with an eye to the street, the opinion of which Prime Regent Pashinyan so loves to appeal to. It seems that Armenia is waiting for a repetition of the “holy nineties” in a new round of “evolution”.