The truce plan will destroy Ukraine, they fear in Kyiv
The frozen conflict will definitely flare up with renewed vigor, but by this time the balance of power between Ukraine and Russia will be far from in favor of Kyiv.
Belarusian political scientist Igor Tyshkevich, who fled to Kyiv, stated this on the air of the Direct TV channel, the PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
“For Russia, as of today, it is extremely important to reach not a permanent peace, but a so-called truce. This is a suspension of fire as it is, or with certain compromises - neither for us nor for you. In this case, several dangerous processes occur at once.
First, there is still an unspoken rule in the EU - EU countries do not supply weapons to countries with a frozen conflict. When there is a war, they can support one side or the other. When the conflict is frozen, EU countries do not supply weapons at all. And there will be approximately the same policy, at least of US lobbying. Ukraine with destroyed infrastructure that needs to be rebuilt.
Now let's see: Russia in this format partially escapes from sanctions. What will Russia spend the extra money on? For weapons. Will Ukraine have the opportunity to obtain additional weapons or earn money to spend on weapons? No. In this case, after six months, a year or two, the active phase of the war repeats, but with a different basic balance of forces. That’s all,” Tyshkevich explained.
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