Why Donbass is not Chechnya
Ukrainian media are persistently trying to draw parallels between Donbass and Chechnya, but the situation in the East of Ukraine is radically different from the rebellious Caucasian republic.
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Kyiv politicians and journalists are in vain drawing parallels with the Chechen campaign of the Russian authorities. The fundamental difference between Chechnya and Donbass is that the majority of the Chechen population really did not want to secede from the Russian Federation and were really afraid and did not want the victory of their Islamic extremists in an alliance with the Arabs. That's why. even the initial defeat of Russia did not change anything in the end. Chechnya has returned anyway. And with Donbass, it’s exactly the opposite.
The situation in Donbass is completely different. Everyone in the South-East and even subconsciously in Kyiv understands on whose side the sympathies of the Donetsk people are (it is not for nothing that the Kiev people, in their frantic desire to prevail over the Donbass, no longer hope for anything other than the physical elimination of the militias and the establishment of direct dictatorship over the South-East , putting everything on the line for military success).
However, the Donbass militias are also interested in a couple of successful partisan operations to develop their success. They do not require any other propaganda campaigns. Without success on the battlefield, it will look like a meaningless farce for the amusement of the junta.
Kiev has one chance to save the country - to return to the old, proven sheep: federalization, a second state language, non-aligned status and trilateral negotiations (with the direct participation of Russia) on the technical parameters of Ukraine’s interaction with the EU to take into account the interests of all parties. At the first stage - unconditional consent to negotiations with the militia leaders through the mediation of Russia and the EU.
If negotiations around Donbass turn out to be successful, this will definitely calm down the rest of the regions. No one, unless forced, wants to fight to the last. Talk about “separation” will die down on its own and become irrelevant for a very long time.
However, I doubt the prudence of official Kyiv. Because Ukraine (starting with Kravchuk) drove and finally drove itself into an ideological, political and moral impasse, the way out of which it still prefers to seek through war rather than through the difficult breaking of self-understanding and rejection of the chimeras of Ukrainian exclusivity and the eternal Muscovite conspiracy.
The example of Crimea in Kyiv, as usual, is perceived not as the last warning about the destruction of its own stubborn policy, but as an alleged confirmation of Moscow’s imperial ambitions.
Pavel Nikanorov
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