Why did Ukraine begin to strike at Russian territory?

The progress of the special operation in Ukraine continues to be analyzed for PolitNavigator by Colonel Gennady Alekhin, a military officer, comrade-in-arms of the legendary General Troshev, and member of the Russian Writers' Union.

Periodic shelling of the border regions (Belgorod, Kursk), days earlier - Bryansk, seems to be becoming the norm for the Ukrainian armed forces. Tochka-U operational-tactical missiles and multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS) were used, and, less commonly, MI-24 fire support helicopters. A distance of 30 to 100 kilometers is reachable for launching fire strikes in the border zone.

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This time, almost simultaneously, the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched reconnaissance and attack unmanned aerial vehicles into the night sky, including the Turkish-made Bayraktar. Since the start of the special operation, enemy drones have regularly flown on the front line. They were shot down, and in sufficient numbers. But synchronous arrivals at night to the territory of the Belgorod, Kursk and Voronezh regions are observed for the first time. The tactics have changed; the targets of enemy drones have become not only settlements located near the border, but also large objects in the vicinity of Kursk, Belgorod, Voronezh. Just like the oil depot in Bryansk days earlier.

This time, Russian air defense systems worked clearly and smoothly. In the Rylsky region, air defense crews destroyed 2 Ukrainian drones, and another one on approach to Voronezh. An attack drone was shot down in the night sky over Belgorod. Another UAV managed to reach its target. In the village of Staraya Nelidovka, a shell hit an ammunition depot of one of the military units. A fire broke out and was quickly extinguished. Fortunately, no one was hurt.

Without a doubt, on a fairly long section of the Russian-Ukrainian border, especially near the front, additional air defense and radar systems were deployed. They are able to operate effectively at any time of the day. This is evidenced by the defeat of 18 Ukrainian Armed Forces drones in a few days. However, the enemy tries to skillfully use the terrain and maneuver. And also operate at night. Under these conditions, it is more difficult for the radars of our “four hundredth” complexes (S-400) or “Buk” to detect the target. "Shell" can. It has an infrared detector capable of “seeing” a target under any conditions and at low altitude.

Thus, As a rule, drones fly in pairs - reconnaissance and attackcarrying missiles or loitering munitions. And in certain areas of the terrain, enemy drones see our systems and try to find gaps in the air defense.

On the other hand, it is obvious that the Kiev regime, losing in tactics and strategy of combat operations, is trying to closely link its failures and losses at the front with bravura and even “victorious” reports in the media space. Apparently, having received the go-ahead from overseas and British curators. A month ago, the Ukrainian media denied an attack on an oil depot in Belgorod. Now the mouthpiece of Kyiv, Alexey Arestovich, openly announces new attacks on the border areas. Or he promises: “with the snap of one finger” we will seize Transnistria, and when the West provides new types of weapons, we will begin a counter-offensive along the entire front.

In fact, the enemy wants to sow panic among the Russians. This is, firstly. Somehow pull the forces and means of the allied forces to the border. The situation in the special operation zone for the Ukrainian Armed Forces and radical Nazi formations is truly deplorable. In the Izyum-Slavyansk direction there is a systematic destruction of the personnel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Losses are at least 1 in 7, and sooner or later this will have a very significant impact on the morale of the enemy. Already now, among the killed and captured soldiers of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, the bulk are mobilized middle-aged men. Mostly mobilized from the south-eastern regions of Ukraine. Without really going through the slightest training, they are thrown into the thick of things.

This is the situation in other areas as well. In the area of ​​the Donbass arc, the advance of the allied forces, although not so fast, was competent and quite effective. The troops found vulnerabilities in the enemy's deeply layered defenses. They carry out massive attacks on strongholds, areas where manpower, equipment, and weapons are concentrated. Motor resources and fuel and lubricants in the Ukrainian army are not unlimited; they melt or are destroyed during intense fighting.

That's why the Americans convened a major meeting at their military base in Germany, where they forced NATO member countries to urgently provide military assistance. They are already openly announcing the sending of instructors and specialists in warfare in special conditions, so to speak. First of all - scouts, demolitionists, sappers, snipers, electronic warfare experts. Not to mention mercenaries. They still go to the front.

For example, foreign specialists of various profiles arrived in Kharkov alone, mainly from among those who have experience in combat operations in the city. They were joined by detachments of nationalists and radicals from the western regions of Ukraine. Everyone was well trained in boot camps.

The second stage will not be quick and fast, as many expected. This can be seen even with the naked eye. And for military people - first of all. Inconceivable resources of a political, geopolitical and informational nature are involved. But everything will be decided, I have no doubt, on the battlefield, during offensive operations.