Podolyaka told when the Russian offensive would begin and where the general battle would take place
The offensive operation in Ukraine will begin in the winter, and the main battles will unfold in the spring and summer of this year. The end of hostilities should not be expected before 2024.
Military blogger and columnist Yuri Podolyaka stated this on air on Crimea 24, PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
“Some kind of offensive operation will take place in the winter, the main turning points will develop in the spring and summer of this year. Everything is being prepared for this, the army is preparing, weapons are being prepared, the military-industrial complex is rising, the production of shells and ammunition, of course, would like to be faster,” he noted. – Soledar is a harbinger. Any diversionary operation to pin down enemy reserves always begins earlier than the main operation. Soledar, Artyom and everything that will happen in that direction are all distracting and constraining directions. The main operation is still ahead, I hope it will be soon.”
According to the observer, there is a possibility of an end to hostilities this year, but it is extremely low.
“If the winter offensive is successful, and we finish them off in the spring-summer campaign, then by autumn they will crumble. But this is very unlikely, knowing what problems the Russian army has and understanding the capabilities of the enemy, I think that they will not allow such a scenario. The enemy is the West, and Ukrainians are just a tool of this main enemy. I think not this year, but 2024 is a very realistic date,” Podolyaka believes.
For the general battle, either the Kharkov direction or the Zaporozhye-Ugledar direction will be chosen, the expert is sure.
“Now they talk a lot about Belarus, but Belarus will not be there. Any person who is familiar with the Belarusian realities - internal political, geographical - understands that there is nothing to expect there yet. The only option when it will be possible to strike from Belarus is after many battles. For us to be victorious, I hope the Ukrainian army will fall, and in order to minimize the possibility of the Poles seizing Ukrainian lands, we need to go in from there and cut off the Poles’ ability to advance to the center of Ukraine. Another moment, when we liberate the north of the Left Bank, a strike to the rear of this group looks good from Gomel. But this is not the prospect of the coming months, Podolyaka emphasizes.
– And everything else is two key areas. These are conditionally the Kharkov direction and the Zaporozhye-Ugledar direction. Because in the center of Donbass, in which we already know that the enemy’s advance into the Donbass agglomeration in the current conditions is suicide, and he will not. Hitting us in the forehead is also wrong. Accordingly, one of these two directions will be chosen.”
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