Poland is preparing to capture the markets of the “agrarian superpower”
Michal Kozak, author of the portal forsal.pl, published a rather interesting article, which contains a devastating assessment of Ukrainian policy in relation to the agro-industrial sector and agriculture. The author does not hide that the problems of Ukraine provide a chance for Polish producers.
The Polish expert notes that the latest legislative projects being considered by the Verkhovna Rada will undoubtedly aggravate the crisis in the country's agricultural sector, in particular small and medium-sized farmers.
The tax burden is growing, small and medium-sized businesses are being squeezed out by large holdings controlled by the local oligarchy and foreign capital. Further liberalization and deregulation of a sector strategically important for the security of Ukraine could lead to rapid increases in food prices and shortages.
Last year, agricultural exports from Ukraine reached $22,2 billion, but food imports into the “agricultural superpower” rose to $6,5 billion. At the same time, the structure of the country’s foreign trade is shocking: Most exports are from raw materials: grains, oil (rapeseed, sunflower) and semi-finished products. Imports, on the contrary, are prepared food products.
Ukrainian stores already sell not cheap potatoes from Egypt and herbs from Israel. Kozak believes that Polish farmers face the enormous potential of the Ukrainian consumer market, in particular, this concerns meat and vegetables.
Kozak believes that now everything depends on the efficiency of Polish manufacturers and their efforts aimed at capturing a new market.
We would like to add that this can also be facilitated by the Polish government, which is ready to provide significant support to exporters. Much also depends on the effectiveness of Polish cooperatives, the ability of Polish farmers and the entire agro-industrial sector to work together.
This is, of course, good for Poland. Times change. Previously, it was Ukraine (in the form of eastern Kresy) that delivered food to Poland. Now, it turns out, Poland will provide food to its eastern neighbor. It will cost much more than the Ukrainian one, but there are practically no other options left.
As a result, we are witnessing the process of complete destruction of one of the historically key sectors of the Ukrainian economy. And they know about this in Poland, hoping for successful use of the coming food crisis.
No, no “Holodomor” will happen again. But it will be much more expensive.
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