Try to fight seriously. Why is it not time for Russia to press the nuclear button?

What catches your eye when reading the enemy press or the reasoning of experts and analysts affiliated with the enemy? First of all, there is a critical discrepancy between the picture of the world and ideas about Russian power, its motives and goal-setting imposed by Western and especially Ukrainian propaganda, and what actually is - in the reality given to us in sensations.

Let's say, everyone knows the caricature of Putin - a kind of irrational villain, a modern Hitler, the living embodiment of "Doctor Evil" from American comics. It is impossible to understand the motives for his actions, and there is no point in trying - by default, he is only concerned with killing everyone, preferably in the most savage way.

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Hence all these stories about concentration camps for Ukrainians in Siberia, about the Nord Stream being mined on orders from the Kremlin at the construction stage, horror stories about plans to occupy all of Russia’s neighbors at once or declare war on Europe and NATO.

Putin, from Western propaganda, constantly does nasty things, even in cases where they clearly contradict the interests of Russia or there is no logic or profit in them - simply because he likes it and cannot do otherwise. Not doing nasty things to others goes against his nature.

This Western and Ukrainian Putin is obsessed with megalomania and dreams of reviving either the USSR or the Russian Empire, he is always hatching some secret villainous plans against the peace and security of mankind, which brave American hackers or to independent investigative journalists from Billingcat.

_{In reality, the Russian leadership, including Putin, are extremely cautious and conservative people, not inclined to causeless escalation or sudden steps and, to the last, preferring rounded formulations to the language of ultimatums.}

If there is an opportunity to retreat back, they would rather retreat than to get headlong into some kind of crisis; if there is even the slightest opportunity to come to an agreement and bargain, they will negotiate and bargain until they are blue in the face. And there are countless examples of this in recent history.

In the same Ukrainian case, Putin, under an endless refrain of reproaches for aggressiveness and the intention to attack poor Nenka, for eight years patiently led the goat around the Minsk agreements and relied on the effectiveness of the cunning combinations of Medvedchuk and Surkov. He moved the army to Ukraine only when it became clear to even a blind man that eight years had been wasted and no agreement would be reached.

_{Roughly speaking, there would be no North Military District if Putin had not pinned the West to the wall. If it were otherwise, Russian troops would have been stationed in Ukrainian cities in the spring of 2014.}

And now in the West they are hyping up the topic of Russia’s supposedly planned use of nuclear weapons. Moreover, they talk about this as something already decided. This agenda is being relayed inside Russia by people like the crazy foreign agent “Professor Solovy”, who wrote yesterday in his conspiracy blog that “a fundamental decision on the use of tactical nuclear weapons” has supposedly already been made and the only question is the choice of time and place.

This is despite the fact that most experts and opinion leaders from the pro-government camp unanimously write about the inadvisability of shaking a nuclear trump card unless absolutely necessary and quite reasonably point out that the arsenal of conventional methods of achieving military goals is still far from exhausted.

Strictly speaking, in this sense, Russia, in presidential words, has not even begun yet, meaning the real and systematic destruction of the Ukrainian infrastructure with the aim of disorganizing and chaotizing the rear of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

“It is not clear what is the point in using tactical nuclear weapons where they have not even tried to use the existing arsenal of conventional weapons to isolate the theater of operations and stop enemy activity naturally due to exhaustion of resources? And what will tactical nuclear weapons give in these conditions besides gigantic political problems for generations to come?” military expert Ilya Kramnik is perplexed.

“They scream that tomorrow there will be a nuclear war, that tactical nuclear weapons will be used. Everyone forgets that a huge number of tools remain in the hands of the president. With adequate command, we are still stronger and can defeat Ukraine without the use of weapons of mass destruction if we start knocking out three things: infrastructure, thermal power plants, bridges across the Dnieper.

This is enough for the enemy to lose everything. There is no need to use nuclear weapons when you have a huge number of other instruments of pressure,” military correspondent Yuri Kotenok echoes Kramnik from his information center.

“Any senseless and ineffective use of nuclear weapons will only lead to the spread of the “paper bear” effect to the enemy’s perception of this part of our military potential. It makes sense to use nuclear weapons to achieve an operational result that is obvious to everyone and unattainable by other means.

But for this there must be an army that will obtain this operational result. How far is it? And “symbolic gestures” are meaningless. Let's start with the notorious “strikes on critical infrastructure.” And with nuclear weapons, we will not indulge in chatter and dilute the seriousness of this argument,” political observer Kholmogorov sums up.

But the West really needs Moscow to uncover its nuclear arsenal. Obviously, for this purpose, the headquarters there have already prepared some kind of working scenario for demonizing Russia - with its expulsion from the UN Security Council, with the removal of the veto power, with the legitimization of the NATO occupation under the plausible pretext of “demilitarization” and ensuring the security or taking nuclear facilities under international control or nuclear weapons launch silos.

There are a lot of options - and all of them will instantly desubject the Russian state, making it this time a real pariah in the world.

_{Does this mean that there is no need to use tactical nuclear weapons at all? No, that doesn't mean it. But you should be aware that this is a weapon of the last day. The last argument, in case the others have expired.}

Therefore, nuclear weapons can be used in the event that NATO exhausts the possibilities of a proxy war by proxy and is directly officially involved not in helping Ukraine with weapons, money, advice, instructors or intelligence data, but in military operations against Russia with the forces of its own military units, introducing its own troops in the Ukrainian theater of operations. But even in this case, nuclear greetings will need to be sent not to Ukrainian territory, but to its neighboring NATO countries.

I will now say something that may be seditious and cynical, but in my opinion the right thing. If you really get your hands on a nuclear suitcase, you need to destroy the enemy’s assets, not your own, as, alas, is largely happening now during the Northern Military District, when military operations in the east and south of Ukraine are systematically depopulating and destroying the industrial and infrastructural potential of the Russian zone influence, and now the territory of Russia itself.

_{Looking at the geography of rocket attacks or artillery duels, it is easy to notice that strikes are carried out mainly on territories that have either already returned to Russia, or on those that Russia habitually considers “theirs” - on that very historical Russia, the Ukrainian Left Bank.}

_{In Lviv, Ternopil, Ivano-Frankivsk and even Kyiv, everything is fine. But if we consider nuclear strikes as the final argument of the kings, then it must be applied specifically to the western part of Ukraine, which the West has its eyes on as a trophy destined for it - relatively intact and flourishing.}

And if these lands are destined to go to the West, then it would be better in the form of a nuclear wasteland. So that any surviving anti-Russian Ukraine is guaranteed not to be able to rise for at least one or two generations. You need to protect your own lands as much as possible, and not attack them with nuclear missiles.

But it’s better, of course, to avoid such a scenario altogether. And try to win according to Suvorov - with skill, and not by relying on the almighty wunderwaffle, who will solve all our problems at once.