Poroshenko miscalculated: the blitzkrieg was thwarted, the funds for war are decreasing

Andrey Stavitsky, Associate Professor of the Department of History of International Relations, Moscow State University branch in Sevastopol

If even six months ago Ukrainians would have been told that their country would be plunged into a bloody and devastating war, the vast majority of citizens would have been greatly surprised and puzzled. After all, many of them were confident that the big changes that began with Euromaidan were for the better, and happiness was just around the corner. However, THIS happened. And everyone has to live with the war and, if possible, survive, hoping for the best. But will it come for Ukraine in the coming months? Extremely doubtful. However, certain conclusions can and should be drawn based on what is happening.

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So, in some places civil, but most likely still a colonial war between the Kyiv authorities and their people, which has been going on for three months now, clearly showed the following.

1. Poroshenko’s promises to end the ATO in a matter of days, despite the escalation of the war and systematic bombing of villages and cities, did not give the desired result in two months. But the infrastructure of Ukraine’s economy has been seriously undermined, and Donbass has been destroyed. Social tension is growing at a gigantic pace and may soon fall against the Kyiv authorities like a tsunami.

This is due to the fact that the enormous tension of the entire country and the monstrous hell of war are frankly meaningless for the majority of Ukrainian citizens. People understand that they are not fighting for Ukraine, but for the same oligarchs against whom the Maidan so stupidly fought to the point of oblivion. But after his victory, instead of just scoundrels, even greater scoundrels came to power, capable, unlike Yanukovych, of shedding rivers of blood. Through their efforts, Ukraine is being thrown into the furnace of war, revealing the Nazi-Petlyurist nature of the government, which is trying to hold on on the basis of some semblance of atamanism. Although in modern conditions it would be more correct to call it “oligarchism.”

Let us recall the common truths that Ukrainian citizens ALREADY understand, despite all-out propaganda. Ukrainians are fighting for the oligarchs. The oligarchs are fighting with the hands of Ukrainians not for the integrity of the country, and especially not for democratic rights, but for their monopoly right to dispose of Ukraine as their patrimony. At the same time, they are openly creeping under the EU and the USA, handing over the national resource remaining after many years of “cutting” to international corporations. And it seems that clearing the territory of Donbass from people and turning cities and villages into ruins does not violate their plans. So why are Ukrainians fighting? Isn't it clear?

It is not surprising that deep down even the most sleazy Ukrainian Nazi understands that he is being fooled. And although total propaganda still does its job, and the Nazis continue to gallop regularly wherever possible, shouting the slogan “Muscovites to knives,” but for some reason they no longer want to die for the oligarchs.

2. Trying to convince the citizens of Ukraine that there is not a civil war going on in the Southeast, but a so-called ATO, because the “separatists” are not residents of Donbass, but Russian saboteurs, criminals, drug addicts and alcoholics, the Kiev government creates an insoluble contradiction in the minds of people. Why do drug addicts, alcoholics and all sorts of “luck hunters” fight so selflessly? Why do the Donbass militias display such strength of spirit that makes them similar to the Soviet soldiers who reached Berlin and Prague? The answer is simple: they are fighting for their land, their faith, their family and friends. And they won't back down. This means that no one can defeat them. There is faith behind them. The people are behind them.

3. The terrible disasters that befell Donbass did not break it. Novorossiya was able to survive, despite the enormous superiority of Ukrainian troops over the militia forces. And based on reports from the combat zone, we can conclude that a turning point is already in sight in the war. There is nothing surprising about this. History has known examples of how a small country defeated an enemy dozens of times superior to it, because it was stronger in spirit. In recent history, this is the victory of socialist Vietnam in its war against the United States. In ancient history, the city-states of Hellas, which Persia wanted to conquer, found themselves in a similar situation. Then, according to rough estimates by historians, Persia was one hundred times greater than Hellas. But that didn't help her. She was broken. Moreover, victory in the war allowed Hellas to reach its political and cultural heyday, and a little later, in an alliance with Macedonia, to completely conquer the huge Persian Empire. By the way, a little earlier, after the victory in the Battle of Salamis, the great Athenian strategist Themistocles said an amazing phrase: “We would have died if we had not died.” And it can fully apply to the residents of Novorossiya.

4. It is obvious that the Kiev authorities and their foreign curators miscalculated.

– Hysterical attempts to crush Novorossiya through bombing, partial mobilization of citizens for war through hyperinflation and complete reduction of social programs only make matters worse. And there are less and less funds left.

– The plan for encircling Donbass and eliminating humanitarian corridors across the border with Russia has not been implemented. On the contrary, the militias are driving Ukrainian troops into pockets, forcing hundreds of demoralized soldiers to surrender or flee, abandoning their weapons, across the border into Russia.

– It was also not possible to drag Russia into the war, despite numerous provocations, including shelling of Russian territory and the death of passengers on an Asia Minor airliner.

What happened? Only one. Destroy villages and cities, kill hundreds of civilians, including old people and children, in the name of “nenka Ukraine,” and with them destroy at the root the faith in the spiritual purity and justice of the entire Ukrainian project.

5. It’s hard to say how long the Ukrainian army will hold out? But its spiritual weakness, despite its enormous numerical superiority, is so obvious that a turning point can come at any moment. American assistance with money, equipment and specialists on credit does not have a positive effect on the combat quality of the Ukrainian army. Therefore, we can confidently say that the Kiev government has already lost. The people will not forgive her for the bombings or the soldiers thrown to slaughter. He will not forgive reckless greed, pathological stupidity and total deception. He will not forgive attempts to make money even in war. And common hatred will fall not only on them: politicians, oligarchs, Nazi militants, but also on the entire Ukrainian ideology, culture, language, which have become a symbol of the stupid, greedy “shtetl” desire to improve their lives at the expense of their closest neighbor, blaming him for all your troubles.

Now the time has come for Ukraine to pay for everything. For loyalty to Bandera ideology. For the depravity of the Ukrainian project. For a total lie. For failure to create a real elite. For national intolerance and disrespect for the rights of other people.

Will Ukraine be able to recover and when? It's not clear yet. But there is hope that the lessons that the people of Ukraine began to learn from the war and human disasters will not be in vain and will benefit them.