Poroshenko faces a fight with Batkivshchyna, UDAR and nationalists
Moscow - Kyiv, July 28 (Navigator, Mikhail Stamm) - By initiating early parliamentary elections, Poroshenko risks opening an internal Ukrainian political front, destabilizing the situation in Ukraine and weakening his own positions. So says Doctor of Political Science Sergei Zhiltsov, whose article is published by NG.
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Poroshenko’s plans include reducing the influence of the current leaders in the Verkhovna Rada - Svoboda, UDAR and Batkivshchyna, eliminating the Party of Regions and Communists from the parliamentary field, as well as promoting a number of political projects that have not previously participated in the work of parliament, Zhiltsov notes. First of all, this concerns Poroshenko’s political project of the Solidarity party. The party must incorporate various political dwarfs, as well as individual deputies who do not have the independent opportunity to enter the Verkhovna Rada. Poroshenko pins his hopes on the formation of a pro-presidential faction, which is seen as the basis of a pro-presidential majority, with the prospects of Solidarity.
But Poroshenko risks entering into direct confrontation with other political forces and the oligarchs behind them. Firstly, the expert believes, the ambitions of the leaders of Svoboda, Batkivshchyna and UDAR are strengthened by their personal hostility towards Poroshenko. Secondly, these parties control councils in the center and in the west, which reflect the interests of regional business, and do not want to give power to Poroshenko. Thirdly, Poroshenko does not have support from big business. Fourthly, Lyashko’s Radical Party and the “Self-Help” party of Lvov Mayor Andrei Sadovoy, who are not under Poroshenko’s control, may get into the Rada.
The growing informal election campaign is taking place against the backdrop of a civil war, forecasts of a sharp drop in GDP and a lack of funds in the budget. However, such a situation is not taken into account by the Ukrainian president and nationalist parties, for whom the establishment of undivided political control, even without the Donetsk and Lugansk regions and for a short time, is a key task, Zhiltsov notes.
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