Pashinyan's ghost is knocking on the doors of Ukraine
The clashes that occurred yesterday between militants of the National Corps controlled by the head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs Arsen Avakov while trying to break through to the presidential administration and to Petro Poroshenko’s rally are evidence of an impending acute political crisis in Ukraine.
Kiev political scientist Vladimir Fesenko, who until recently worked for Petro Poroshenko’s headquarters, writes about this, a PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
“About incidents in Kyiv and Cherkassy. I am a principled opponent of violent actions in politics. And not a supporter of the National Corps and the National Brigades. In general, I think that paramilitary organizations are a great threat to democracy. But what is happening now are the first symptoms of the approaching crisis. If the election campaign develops as it is now, then an acute political crisis is simply inevitable. And I really don’t like it,” he wrote on his blog.
Fesenko believes that Poroshenko’s headquarters’ reliance on the slogan “Either me or Putin,” combined with the use of administrative resources, will not work.
“This is manipulation and absolutely untrue. And the problem is that a quarter of the country simply hates him, and another half does not trust or like him. And do you think that these people will recognize his victory?” – explained the political scientist.
However, he believes that the crisis in Ukraine will not be over even after the election of a new president.
“The period between the presidential and parliamentary elections will be very difficult and controversial. The paradox is that the winner of the presidential elections will most likely lose the parliamentary elections,” Fesenko also noted.
The new president can get a loyal Verkhovna Rada only if the current parliament is dissolved immediately after his victory, says Kiev social psychologist Oleg Pokalchuk. However, Fesenko pointed out that such a scenario contradicts the law prohibiting early elections six months before the official campaign.
“Well, my colleagues have already discussed the possibility. It is unlikely for various reasons, I agree. But Pashinyan’s ghost is knocking on our doors too,” Pokalchuk replied.
“I agree with this. It’s another matter who will become Pashinyan,” Fesenko supported.
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