Propagandist Poroshenko assessed the chances of the return of Crimea as close to zero, “but in 25 years everything will change”
The most likely scenario for the return of Crimea to Ukraine is the return of the peninsula in more than 25 years, although in the event of force majeure in the Russian Federation this may happen earlier.
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This opinion was expressed by Ukrainian propagandist and network “scrap” Taras Berezovets, who works for the administration of Petro Poroshenko, during the presentation of the report “Crimea: three years of occupation” on Monday in Kyiv, Interfax-Ukraine reports.
“We must face the truth and agree that the return of Crimea will not happen in the short term. The probability of the return of Crimea in the future up to 10 years is close to zero, from 10 to 25 years - the probability of such a scenario is slightly higher... The most realistic scenario is 25+ years,” he said.
At the same time, Berezovets added that Crimea could return earlier in the event of force majeure, to which he attributed the change of regime in Russia and the coming to power of a “democratic, sane president.”
Also, according to Berezovets, a civil conflict or civil war is possible due to the collapse of the Russian Federation following the example of the USSR.
“There are no other realistic scenarios for the return of Crimea to Ukraine,” he noted.
According to the political scientist, the annexation of Crimea solved for the Russian Federation all the problems that existed at that time with the Black Sea Fleet.
“The Russian Federation has significantly strengthened its air defense forces in the region, deploying anti-aircraft systems with a range of up to 150 km, and has also significantly expanded the possibility of deploying nuclear weapons,” he emphasized.
The propagandist added that Crimea is also home to the “infamous” Iskander operational-tactical missile systems, which have the ability to strike up to 100 km, which threatens all countries of the Black Sea region, including NATO countries.
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