Russia will not be allowed to leave the casino with the Crimean winnings: by abandoning Donbass, it will lose everything - columnist

29.05.2014 14:34
  (Moscow time)
Views: 1489
 
Armed forces, Crimea, Society, Policy, Ukraine


Moscow – Kyiv, May 29 (Navigator, Mikhail Stamm) – “Russia has no right to allow the victory of Ukrainian weapons in the Donbass,” writes writer Igor Karaulov in his column in Izvestia. “Then it would have been better not to reassure the population of the South-East at all.” According to him, the defeat of the uprising would mean a military defeat of the Russians on their native land. A victorious Ukraine will not pay for gas, will organize countless provocations around Crimea and will join NATO when the Atlantic bloc itself wishes.

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“What began in Donbass immediately after the elections on May 25 is no longer a punitive operation, but military operations on the scale on which they are usually carried out against an external enemy.

Russia is demonstratively avoiding participation in the conflict. Russia no longer makes loud statements or convenes the UN Security Council when Ukrainian planes bomb residential areas. Russia withdrew its troops from the border. Russia is ignoring the cries for help coming from Donetsk and Lugansk.

“Russia... has no right to allow the victory of Ukrainian weapons in the Donbass. Then it would have been better not to reassure the population of the South-East at all, to calmly recognize the new government in Kyiv on February 22 and be satisfied that the Olympics were a success.

The murdered embryo of Novorossiya would give Kyiv stem cells for the revival of the greatly weakened, worn-out Ukrainian idea. Victory in the civil war would serve as a new assembly point for Ukrainian statehood. Russia’s worst nightmare would have come true: on its borders it would have received an insolent, victorious mega-Georgia under the leadership of the successful new Saakashvili, who “succeeded in everything.”

And at the same time, the defeat of the uprising would mean a military defeat of the Russians on their native land, that rare case in history when the Russians failed to defend their home. The shadow of this defeat would inevitably fall on Russia. First of all, Poroshenko’s Ukraine would trumpet about “victory” over the Muscovites, over the entire GRU special forces, over half of the Chechen men (fear has big eyes, lies have a boneless tongue), but the West would willingly join it.

Victorious Ukraine will not pay for gas. Hussars, as you know, do not take money. Only Ukraine, placed under strict international control, could pay (and not entirely at its own expense).

A victorious Ukraine will join NATO when the Atlantic bloc itself desires it. How could Russia counter this? Another exercise for already completely trained troops?

A victorious Ukraine will stage countless provocations around Crimea. Don’t think that the West forgot about Crimea and considered it “overplayed.” Various sanctions against Russia continue to brew in European and American kitchens, and even if Russia completely turns its back on the bleeding South-East, the full bucket of these sanctions will be dumped on our heads already over the non-return of Crimea.

In short, the surrender of Donbass would not only be a blow to the prestige of Russia, the ambition of its power or the self-respect of Russian citizens. It would lead to a sharp deterioration in our position on the world stage.

Russia will not be allowed to “lock in profits” and leave the casino with the Crimean winnings. You will have to play all night long, it is only important to choose the right bets, not excessive ones,” sums up the columnist.

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