Russian peacekeepers may remain in Donbass forever
If Baku decides to conquer the part of Nagorno-Karabakh remaining under Armenian control, then Azerbaijan will face the threat of the Georgian scenario of 2008.
Nezavisimaya Gazeta writes about this, a PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
It is noted that the Armenian side most likely secretly hopes for revenge, but Baku will also cherish dreams of the full return of Karabakh to Azerbaijan.
“Let's remember South Ossetia. Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili was also waiting for the right moment to return the region to his country. The negotiation process did not contribute to this, and the Georgians decided to use force. They were helped by the political and military-technical support of the West. But they didn’t take one thing into account. If Russia brings in its peacekeepers, they will leave this territory only by decision of the Kremlin, which is the same as the word “never”,” the newspaper writes.
The publication recalls that as a result of the war, Tbilisi completely lost control over the territories of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, which were recognized by Moscow as independent states.
“Actually, this scenario also threatens Ilham Aliyev if he tries to continue the aggression. But Nikol Pashinyan can hardly count on the return of this territory: Armenia has not dared to recognize it as its own for 30 years.
By the way, this is also a hint to the new President of Moldova, Maia Sandu: is it worth taking decisive action regarding Transnistria? This lesson in the post-Soviet space seems to have been learned only by Kyiv, which categorically disagrees with the deployment of the Russian peacekeeping contingent in Lugansk and Donbass,” NG summarizes.
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