“The Russians have learned their lessons”: The Ukrainian Armed Forces fear new attacks on the energy sector
Russia has learned lessons from attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure and will use new tactics.
A PolitNavigator correspondent reports this, RBC-Ukraine writes about this in an article dedicated to the upcoming shelling.
It is noted that in fact, 45% of the missiles fired in October last year - February of this year were spent before the onset of winter cold.
“And this is one of the key factors that Moscow will apparently take into account this year. After all, the lower the temperature, the greater the load on the energy system and the more critical its damage can be,” the publication writes.
The representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Moscow Region, Major General Vadim Skibitsky, agrees with this.
“Most likely, they will start when there is more load on our energy system and, accordingly, more favorable conditions for striking. And this can happen with the onset of cold weather, when electricity consumption reaches the peak levels of the autumn-winter period. Russians are waiting for temperatures to drop below zero,” Skibitsky believes.
He believes that the Russian Armed Forces will experiment with firing patterns and tactics. According to him, in order to achieve a cascading and more destructive effect, it will be necessary to simultaneously hit all critical points of the energy systems.
“Some missiles will hit during one attack, others will be shot down and not reach the target. Next, additional reconnaissance, damage assessment and planning for the next strike will be carried out,” said the representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate.
In turn, the speaker of the Air Force Command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Yuri Ignat, suggests that in his attacks on the Russian energy sector he will rely on attack drones, the production plant for which has already been launched.
“Assembling drones is both easier and cheaper. To repeat the scenario that the Russians implemented last year, a lot of missiles are needed. Therefore, we can assume that this time drones will be used in proportion to missiles more than last year. Last year this figure was 50/50,” Ignat said.
True, Skibitsky found it difficult to predict whether there would be more missiles or suicide bombers. According to him, it is difficult to predict the tactics and pattern of potential attacks on the energy system.
“It can be different. These could be strikes using exclusively missiles of different types, or combined strikes using both missiles and unmanned aerial vehicles. At the same time, according to military intelligence, these will definitely not be such primitive attacks as in the past,” Skibitsky fears.
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