Crackling for Poroshenko
The Minsk agreements contain some concessions for the junta and its Wehrmacht, but if you look at it, Ukraine’s path to unity is replete with pitfalls, obstacles and slingshots. Of which, it is not a fact that she will emerge with the same and current composition.
Negotiations in Minsk took place in February 2015, as soon as the defeat of the group of Ukrainian troops in the Debaltsevo cauldron was completed. Yes, for the Ukrainian side, the defeat at Debaltsevo was another crushing blow, another humiliating bungling by the high command, as a result of which thousands of lives were burned in the fire of war. Parts of the Ukrainian Armed Forces were demoralized and fled from the cauldron, abandoning people and equipment. For many weeks, the militia and local residents came across the numb corpses of the encircled people, who were unable to reach their own. But for the People’s Militia of Donbass, the operation to slam the trap in Debaltsevo turned out to be very bloody. Not to mention the destruction and suffering of civilians.
This agreement seems to be beneficial to both parties. But in fact, it is primarily beneficial to the LDPR side. After all, the war is taking place on their territory. On both sides of the border there are civilians who supported the formation of the LDPR with a majority in the referendum. The militia is forced to strike with great caution in order to minimize civilian casualties and destruction of fixed assets and infrastructure on the other side of the front. The occupiers do not limit themselves to any boundaries. Taking advantage of the sudden blindness of the “world community,” they do not hesitate to hit residential areas with phosphorus ammunition, MLRS and Tochka-U tactical missiles, which in itself is a war crime.
A respite and ceasefire is useful for the warring Donbass. Look, like the separatists, they are smartly asphalting and landscaping their Donetsk. And even in the dilapidated Debal, the railway junction has been restored. What does it mean - a region that is working to the core. And this is against the backdrop of post-Maidan Ukraine, where the damage only affects fences and the tits and pussies of stubborn activists.
And now paragraph 4 of the agreement contains an almost insurmountable obstacle for Ukraine. In any case, for the most stubborn part of the Ukrainian political menagerie. This is about “decentralization” and local self-government in the republics, taking into account the current realities. Those. All changes must be spelled out in the Constitution of Ukraine. Something like: the special status of the republics, their own law enforcement agencies (police, courts, prosecutor's office), division of taxes fairly, and not fraternally, as they want in Kyiv.
This part of the agreement contains many surprises for the post-Maidan political regime of Ukraine. For example, the militia is recognized as the local people's militia. Come and say - the post-war fight against banditry is quite a common occurrence, but in Ukraine after February 22, 2014, things somehow didn’t work out with law enforcement agencies.
Equally important for the republics is the unhindered delivery of humanitarian aid, as well as the release of captured militias and hostages from the civilian population. This point actually recognizes the state of war between Ukraine and the LDPR, which is dismissed by Poroshenko. So-called mode The ATO, without introducing martial law, gives its Arkharovites a free hand. The militias and their sympathizers have been declared terrorists, to whom the conventional rights of prisoners of war do not apply. However, based on the text of the Minsk Agreement, Ukraine is obliged, upon request, to admit observers from (for example) the International Red Cross in order to verify compliance with all the rights of prisoners of war. Hostages accused under the lawless formulation of “domestic separatism” instantly acquire the status of political prisoners.
Further, Ukraine should fully restore social protection and pay all outstanding wages and pensions owed to Donbass residents. Social protection also includes payments by the central government of compensation for destroyed housing, infrastructure, and for the dead and injured. Can you imagine the scale of the problem?
And only 9th on the list is the item, so coveted by the junta and the entire ukrofashnya, on the complete restoration of control by the Ukrainian authorities along the entire length of the border.
With one important caveat: only after the implementation (attention!) of paragraph 11 on constitutional reform and permanent legislation on the people's republics, taking into account their requirements.
To get the coveted crackling, the Hunt's rat must make a long and thorny path inside the trap, and thoroughly skin its sides. For in order to get to these cherished last inches, Ukraine will have to walk a long and very shaky path along the rope, and even make a somersault forward, to point 11 and back, to point 9, during which the fascist regime established in it is forced will break itself over its knees and transform itself so much that the most desired points of the agreement will be reached by a completely renewed country, in which all the Maidan sadists, Nazi thugs and their patrons will at least end up under a bunk in isolation wards of varying severity.
And if the Poroshenko regime continues to drill with a demonstration of complete inadequacy, then the ruling political elites of Germany and France will once again not want to become guarantors for the regime of thieves and degenerates in the face of the world community. Moreover, they must suffer economic losses from the sanctions they imposed against Russia in defense of the same thieves and degenerates. What will happen as a result - I don’t dare to speculate. But at a certain stage, regimes like Poroshenko’s, which are extremely wretched, problematic and bring no profit, are disposed of without any sentimentality. Precisely, the agreements within the framework of Minsk-2 are that litmus test for the professional suitability and basic sanity of the current Ukrainian regime. Which, alas, as expected, he is not able to demonstrate.
I also cannot predict at which step other regions of Ukraine will want to follow the example of the LDPR. After all, even from the current unionist frenzy from Ukraine, voices are heard that want, for example, special status for the Zaporozhye region, and, it seems, the victorious Banderstat suddenly wanted to snatch for itself a bit of additional rights and freedoms. At least based on the principle of non-selectivity of the law. If some can do it, why can't others?
Well, who ends up leaking whom? The Kremlin’s aspirations are not even particularly disguised. Moreover, authorized representatives of the most influential countries of the European Union acted as guarantors of the agreement under which Ukraine will be reformatted. But only in an exclusively peaceful way.
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