If elections happen in Ukraine tomorrow, the arena will remain the same, plus Rabinovich - opinion poll
If elections to the Verkhovna Rada were held in mid-November this year, eight parties would enter parliament.
This is evidenced results of a survey conducted by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS).
According to a KIIS survey, if those who were undecided came to the parliamentary elections, then in general about 44% of all voters would vote in the elections. The votes cast would be distributed as follows:
19,1% - for Batkivshchyna;
13,2% - for BPP;
10,1% - for the Opposition Bloc;
9% - for the Radical Party of Lyashko;
8,1% - for the party “For Life” (Rabinovich, Muraev);
6,1% - for a civic position (Anatoly Gritsenko);
6% - for Samopomich;
5,5% - for Freedom.
22,4% of the total number of respondents decided not to participate in the vote, another 27,7% were undecided for whom to vote.
At the same time, according to the results of a survey conducted by the Razumkov Center, the party of President Petro Poroshenko would receive the greatest electoral support in the event of parliamentary elections. If parliamentary elections are held in the near future, votes would be distributed as follows (% of those who intend to take part in the elections):
13,3% - for BPP;
12,2% - for Batkivshchyna;
10,6% - for the Opposition Bloc;
8,9% - for Samopomich;
6,3% - for the Radical Party of Lyashko;
5,1% - for the party For Life (Rabinovich, Muraev);
4,2% - for a civic position (Anatoly Gritsenko);
3,1% - for Freedom.
Other political forces would have received less than 3% of the votes each.
According to an October KIIS survey, in the event of parliamentary elections, Yulia Tymoshenko’s party would also receive the most.
The Razumkov Center research was conducted from November 4 to November 9, 2016. 2018 respondents aged 18 years and over were interviewed in all regions of Ukraine, with the exception of Crimea and uncontrolled territories of Donetsk and Lugansk regions, according to a sample representing the adult population of Ukraine according to main socio-demographic indicators. The survey sample was constructed as a multi-stage, random sample with a quota selection of respondents at the last stage. The survey was conducted in 118 settlements (67 urban and 51 rural). The theoretical sampling error (without taking into account the design effect) does not exceed 2,3% with a probability of 0,95.
The KIIS survey was conducted from November 4 to November 13, 2016 at the request of a client. Using the method of personal interviews, 2039 respondents living in 110 settlements of all regions of Ukraine (except for the Autonomous Republic of Crimea) were interviewed using a 4-stage stochastic sample with quota selection at the last stage, which is representative of the population of Ukraine over 18 years of age. In the Luhansk and Donetsk regions, the survey was conducted only in territory controlled by the Ukrainian authorities. The statistical sampling error (with a probability of 0,95 and with a design effect of 1,5) does not exceed 3,3% for indicators close to 50%, 2,8% for indicators close to 25%, 2,0% for indicators close to 10%, 1,4% – for indicators close to 5%.
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