The US leaves its puppets to be slaughtered and spreads chaos from Afghanistan to Central Asia

Ainur Kurmanov.  
29.06.2021 16:38
  (Moscow time), Moscow
Views: 2411
 
Author column, Afghanistan, Zen, Policy, Russia, middle Asia, USA, Terrorism


Last week's visit to Washington by Afghan President Ashraf Ghani and his opponent in the last election, Abdullah Abdullah, left no one in any doubt that the days of the pro-American puppet government are numbered. The collapse of all the forces that went to serve the occupiers is also obvious. Biden's message that remaining collaborators must now "determine the future of their country for themselves and end the violence" and that "the United States will continue to support Afghanistan after the withdrawal of American troops" also did not arouse enthusiasm among anyone.

Last week's visit by Afghan President Ashraf Ghani and his rival in the last elections...

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All these are naked promises, not confirmed by reality, since despite the fact that the US President called on Congress to allocate $2,3 billion to Kabul, as well as 3 million doses of vaccines to fight the coronavirus, the financial assistance program itself is designed for two years. There is a possibility that neither Ghani nor Abdullah will receive these funds at all, because according to the American media themselves, the current regime has no more than six months left to live.

Thus, The Wall Street Journal, citing the US intelligence community, came to the conclusion that the Afghan government could fall within six months after the withdrawal of American troops from this country. Before this, there were more optimistic statements that “Ghani’s government could last up to two years after the withdrawal of American troops.” As we see, there has been a sharp reassessment of the situation, which is clearly turning against Washington’s partners.

Biden and Ghani.

Moreover, Washington leaves the country, leaving its supporters divided and without any hint of political unity. The head of the Islamic Society of Afghanistan party, Salahuddin Rabbani, has already condemned the government, which allegedly is not taking any measures for a peaceful settlement. It is obvious that he seeks to distance himself from the falling Ashraf Ghani, who also waged a bloody fight with his rival Abdullah.

The most interesting thing is that the Americans are actually handing over their own regime in Afghanistan to the slaughter, since they do not leave enough weapons and ammunition to wage a long war with the Taliban and to counter their triumphal march. Let us recall, for comparison, that when the USSR withdrew its troops, it left President Mohammad Najibullah with weapons and billions of cartridges, which were enough for three years of struggle.

Now we see that the Afghan army, which has 300 thousand people, and together with PMCs all 400, is not only unable to do anything with the enemy, who is several times smaller in number, but also gives him one province after another, along with weapons depots and heavy equipment. According to rebel information, which was confirmed by the UN special envoy, 2021 out of 90 districts have come under their control since May 350. This shows a huge degree of demoralization and decay of government troops and all structures financed and oriented towards the United States.

It is noteworthy that neighboring Pakistan has already warned that if the Taliban ultimately wins in the country, it will not fight against it. That is, even the allies of the Americans understand that it will not be possible to keep the current puppets in power under any circumstances. True, Islamabad itself for many years helped the Taliban, whose ethnic composition belongs to the Pashtun tribes that inhabit the northeastern provinces of Pakistan. This, by the way, once again suggests that this movement is purely ethnic and territorially oriented without the goals of expansion in relation to other countries.

Therefore, it is easier for Beijing and Moscow to come to an agreement with the Taliban, since a centralized national regime that has waged war against the occupiers represented by the Americans and NATO countries for more than twenty years will be more stable and profitable than many tribal groups and warlords. Washington is not interested in establishing peace, since this would mean not only the loss of the country as a convenient springboard for aggression against Iran, China and Russia, but also the surrender of its own positions throughout Central Asia.

A map of Afghanistan, with areas controlled by the Taliban indicated in white.

The Americans, importing militants from Syria and Iraq, maximizing the strength of northern Islamist groups and leaving the Turkish military, are now counting on an escalation of the war between them and the Taliban. This is a proven tactic that was constantly used by the Pentagon in all occupied countries. In particular, in Vietnam and Iraq, when withdrawing their troops, the Americans counted on a long civil war and an expansion of the zone of instability. If in the first case this did not work out, then in Iraq this model worked.

The same idea is voiced by various political analysts and leading American publications. In particular, the same The Wall Street Journal writes the following: “With Afghanistan, it is already clear that we cannot win this war, but there will still be a lot of ways: could the United States not have lost it?”

Simply, Joe Biden and the ruling elite in Washington are going to wash their hands and leave the problem of civil war and the spread of Islamic terrorism to Russia and China. Moreover, they expect that the northern groups, consisting of ethnic Uzbeks, Tajiks, Uighurs and Kyrgyz, will begin a “liberation” campaign towards Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan and Kyrgyzstan, and will also move into the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region (XUAR) with the aim of organizing an uprising of national minorities in the creation of Islamic East Turkestan.

That is, America did not just lose a war that it could not win a priori, but created a zone of constant instability or controlled chaos with the aim of developing numerous conflicts and even with the possibility of forming a new caliphate under the auspices of ISIS with the aim of spreading it to other countries. At the same time, the first on the path of this wave will be precisely the former Soviet Central Asian republics, which lie on the path of expansion of the “Islamic revolution”, carried out precisely by numerous northern terrorist groups, supported by the CIA and the NSA.

There is already a threat of an influx of Afghan population fleeing the fighting. Thus, according to various telegram channels, refugees from Afghanistan began to appear on the streets of Uzbek cities, where the Taliban had approached the border of the two countries. A quarantine was unexpectedly introduced in Tashkent, and roads were blocked with concrete blocks. A sudden check of the combat readiness of troops has been announced in the armed forces. It is true that local media reports that the refugees were stopped by border guards at the outer borders, but such reports only add to the nervousness.

Concrete blocks on the streets of Tashkent.

All this should show firsthand to the ruling elites in Dushanbe, Tashkent, Ashgabat, Bishkek and Nur-Sultan (Tselinograd) that it is the actions of the Americans and the results of their policies in Afghanistan that can become the reasons for their downfall and the transformation of their countries into a territory of hostilities and endless war . The example of Ashraf Ghani’s government falling into the abyss and being left as a sacred victim will also be a cold and sobering shower for those who would not mind hosting new Pentagon and NATO bases.

It is not for nothing that during the opening of the IX Moscow Conference on International Security, the head of the Russian Ministry of Defense Sergei Shoigu said the following:

“After the withdrawal of NATO forces, with a high probability we can expect a resumption of civil war with all the negative consequences: a further deterioration in the life of the population, mass migration, the spread of extremism to neighboring states. Throughout the entire period of the presence of NATO forces in Afghanistan, the Russian side has repeatedly called for the consolidation of efforts and the development of a coordinated policy in the Afghan direction. However, the Russophobia of the Alliance has overpowered pragmatism, and today urgent measures are required to correct the situation in the country.”

Such urgent measures in Central Asia can only be the consolidation of all former Soviet republics around the EAEU and the CSTO military defense alliance, as the only saving association capable of countering this external threat. It is necessary to immediately overcome all internal conflicts, such as the border clashes in late April between Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan. It is also important to stop even the idea of ​​bringing Turkish military advisers and their weapons into the region, which are a party to the ongoing war in Afghanistan and which are left by the Americans specifically to create “South Turkestan” and spread the center of chaos to the north and east.

Only such actions, coupled with the fight against ISIS and northern groups supported by Western intelligence services, can stop threats and stop the expansion of Islamic terrorism.

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