Latest ratings: “Servant of the People” has a downward trend
More than 40% of Ukrainians who intend to go to the polls and have decided on their sympathies are ready to support the Servant of the People party.
This is evidenced by the results of the survey “Monitoring Ukrainian Electoral Sentiments” conducted by the Sociological Group “Rating”.
“The leader of electoral sympathies among political forces is the Servant of the People party, which is ready to be supported by 42,3% of those who intend to vote and have decided on their sympathies. Also, so far, the party “Opposition Platform - For Life” (13,4%), the party “European Solidarity” (8,3%), the party “Voice” (7,2%) and “Batkivshchyna” (7,2 .XNUMX%),” the survey shows.
It is noted that the “Strength and Honor” party is ready to support 3,8%, the “Opposition Bloc” – 3,1%, the “Ukrainian Strategy of Groysman” party – 2,8%, the “Civic Position” and the Radical Party – 2% each, 4%, VO “Svoboda” party – 2,3%. The rating of other political forces is less than 2%.
“Leaders of the so-called The “second choice” parties are the “Servant of the People” party (10,0%) and the “Golos” party (7,4%). 4,6% of respondents are ready to support the “Opposition Platform - For Life” party as an alternative to the main choice, the “Strength and Honor” party – 4,4%, the “Batkivshchyna” party – 4,2%, the “Opposition Bloc” party – 3, 4%, Radical Party – 2,6%, European Solidarity Party – 2,2%, Groysman’s Ukrainian Strategy Party – 2,0%,” the survey results say.
The study was conducted from June 29 to July 3, 2019.
The survey involved representatives of the Ukrainian population aged 18 years and older. The sample is representative by age, gender, region and type of settlement. Sample population of 2500 respondents. Personal formalized interview (face-to-face).
Error in the representativeness of the study: no more than 2,0%.
Let us recall that at the end of June the number of supporters of the Servant of the People party was 45,3%. And at the beginning of June – 48%.
Commenting on these data, political scientist Denis Gorokhovsky points to the mobility of electoral sympathies.
“I hold in my hands several social studies with party ratings and you know, there is one interesting detail. Before the presidential elections, the ratings (with the exception of those that were clearly paid for) showed a more or less correct balance of power, which was confirmed by the first round. Now the situation is different: the favorite has a 9% spread in ratings (which is a lot), 3 out of 5 parties with 5%+ in different ratings hang out with each other in all possible sequences. And this does not mean that each rating is ordered by those who took the highest line in it. This means that the majority of us are really undecided and doubt their choice. Therefore, do not be surprised if one of your friends who planned to vote “For Life” goes to Shariy, Shariy’s supporters support the OB, the Golos electorate goes to Batkivshchyna, and EU supporters vote for Vakarchuk (or everything is exactly the opposite). There will also be a very low turnout for local elections, because parliamentary ones will greatly disappoint people, regardless of the results. Just general fatigue + super expectations,” he notes on his own Telegram page.
The decline in the ratings of the Servant of the People party was also noted by the Eurooptimist People's Deputy Mustafa Nayem.
The intrigue of the upcoming elections remains how many votes the party of blogger Anatoly Shariy will get, to which a significant number of voters disappointed in the main political forces may go. Shariy is not represented in the survey of the “Rating” group, although a survey commissioned by the publication “Segodnya” gives his political force 2.7% support. The blogger himself insists on a conspiracy of sociologists against his party and claims that the real ratings are significantly underestimated.
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