Dodon has the resources to win the second round
The difference between the results of Igor Dodon and Maia Sandu in the first round of the presidential elections in Moldova is insignificant. In addition, Sandu has already completely exhausted her electoral resource, and Dodon can still gain new supporters and win in the second round.
Pavel Rudyakov, head of the Perspektiva information and analytical center, told a PolitNavigator correspondent about this.
“The result in the first round was predictable and it cannot be said that Dodon lost. There is a three percent gap between Sandu and Dodon, which is insignificant for the first round. They go neck and neck.
As predicted by analysts who follow Moldovan politics, the diaspora played a role, supporting Sandu and voting very actively. But, as serious sociological services have also written about this, its resource has been exhausted.
And Dodon has a reserve. Therefore, aggressive campaigning for both sides is expected for the second round. But now the initiative is on Dodon’s side, he has a better chance of increasing the percentage of those who vote for him.
In the second round, this growth for him may be 12-15%, and for Sandu - less, especially since Renato Usatii is in third place in the first round, this is a “wandering” electorate, these are far from supporters of the European or Romanian choice of Moldova.
Therefore, Sandu will still have to mobilize the diaspora, and it has already been fully mobilized. And Dodon has the resource to improve his result. According to German analysts, in the second round the result will be 55/45 in favor of Dodon,” predicts Pavel Rudyakov.
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