Ukraine will remain with Russia in any historical perspective
Russia will not be able to brush aside the Ukrainian issue. This opinion of the publication on the pages of Izvestia is expressed by the director of the Center for Comprehensive European and International Studies of the Faculty of World Economy and International Politics at the National Research University Higher School of Economics, director of the Eurasian program of the Valdai Club Timofey Bordachev.
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The author states that no one is going to integrate Ukraine into the EU, even in the very long term, and the most that Ukraine can count on is the role of a demographic appendage of the market for cheap services in the EU, as well as a source of biofuels and other natural resources.
“At the same time, the emerging strange symbiosis of military hysteria, being tied to the EU as a junior partner and the oligarchic political-economic system can last quite a long time,” admits Bordachev. “Therefore, the imposing confidence that history itself will do the work for Russia to return Ukraine to a less dangerous state may turn out to be unjustified. But, we repeat, the likelihood that Ukraine will become a normal part of the West is zero.”
In addition, the expert continues, Kiev has other reasons for nervousness, since the attention of the main patron, Washington, is increasingly distracted by the affairs of Northeast Asia, and Europe is busy with itself, which is fraught with “dangerous inattention to the arts of regimes like the one in Kyiv.”
At the same time, the publication says that the military-diplomatic crisis around Ukraine turned out to be “one of the most serious blows that Russia missed from the West.”
“Largely because we were taken by surprise. It was difficult to expect with confidence that the “strategic partners” in Europe would go on the offensive so decisively. Although then Moscow was able to win back some of the losses. Moreover, the return of Crimea helped to avoid the worst scenario - bloodshed on the peninsula and the involvement of Russian forces in it with an unpredictable result,” the author points out.
At the same time, he writes that the interest and exaltation of the Russian media and society regarding what is happening in and around Ukraine is quite understandable.
“This country, thank God, is not a distant African colony that European powers could have abandoned quite easily. Ukraine is with us and will be with us in any historical perspective. It’s unlikely that you’ll be able to turn away from her and give up, and you shouldn’t do that. Therefore, in parallel with the exceptionally skillful power diplomacy that Moscow has shown over these years, it is apparently necessary to build a full-fledged strategy for restoring relations with the Ukrainian people. There is no third option,” sums up Bordachev.
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