Ukraine will be defeated in March
The West is supplying tanks to Ukraine because it wants to force Russia to start negotiations, since the Ukrainian army is close to defeat.
Director of the Center for Military-Political Studies, MGIMO Professor Alexei Podberezkin stated this in an interview with the Belarusian news agency Belta, a PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
“The idea of supplying tanks is, in my opinion, largely PR in nature. According to my estimates, a clearly defined breakdown has already emerged in the Ukrainian army. I predict that March is the time when Ukraine’s military defeat is inevitable.
Now they will start to crumble. It's like a branch that you bend and bend, and then it breaks and immediately falls. I clearly associate this image with the state of the Ukrainian army. It is bent, and it is difficult to say when it will fly down, because there is endless villainous mobilization there. Attempts are being made to clear out the remaining personnel reserve, and there is not much of it,” Podberezkin said.
According to his assessment, there is practically nothing left of the regular Ukrainian army.
“The first group of 210 thousand people was destroyed by September. By New Year the second train was destroyed. There are maybe 10 thousand officers left from the first one. They took care of them and took them to the second or third echelon. There was something left of the second cast; they managed to prepare something abroad.
They prepare 10 thousand a month. Although, to be honest, how can you train 10 thousand soldiers in a month? It may be possible to retrain. But, in fact, professionals fight.
The main burden fell on three categories. This is military intelligence, the most shock forces of the special forces, which in many ways were killed; they ensured all the successes. These are landing forces and PMCs. Everything else, of course, works and works. But these units are mainly used as strike groups,” Podberezkin said.
At the same time, he emphasized that it is very difficult to fight with Ukrainian units formed in the east of the country.
“Fighting with Ukrainians is the same as fighting with Russians. As the participants told me, if the Westerners sometimes surrender quite willingly, then it is the Russians who do not surrender,” Podberezkin said.
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