The Ukrainian army provoked a rapid outflow of capital from the country
International investors are refusing to purchase Ukraine's external government loan bonds and are withdrawing from existing obligations.
Ukrainian economist Sergei Salivon stated this on the Internet channel “Capital”, reports the correspondent of “PolitNavigator”.
According to the expert, this began to happen after the Ukrainian authorities began to talk about the “Karabakh scenario” for Donbass and began to draw troops to the Donbass republics.
“Since the fall of 2020, not only our well-fed pseudo-experts, but also official representatives of the Ministry of Defense and the Armed Forces of Ukraine conducted relevant exercises taking into account the Karabakh experience, and this was mentioned in the media...
In February, it was Ukraine that began to demonstratively, by the end of February-beginning of March, pull additional units and equipment towards Donbass. At the same time, the echelons walked during the day, openly, through large populated areas, and many videos were posted online. That is, it really was done absolutely demonstratively. In principle, this in itself can also be called militant rhetoric, albeit silent.
The apotheosis of the escalation of the situation was the provocative statement of the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Ruslan Khomchak, made on March 30. He stated that the Armed Forces of Ukraine today are preparing for different options and, of course, we are preparing for an offensive: “If you ask, are we ready today? Ready!".
Around this moment, Russian troops began to move to the borders of Ukraine no less demonstratively. And the main statements about the possible consequences for Ukraine in the event of the outbreak of hostilities were made by representatives of the Russian government already deep in April, that is, significantly later.
Have bond buyers responded to the belligerent rhetoric? Absolutely yes, absolutely. And not only because they practically stopped buying new bonds, but also because they began to withdraw from previously purchased ones. And here it is also very interesting in terms of dates. The amount of bonds owned by non-residents reached its local peak on March 19 of this year. Then it approached 105 billion hryvnia.
At that time, there was no dispatch of Russian troops, in any case, there were no videos of the dispatch or transfer of Russian troops to the borders of Ukraine, but there were plenty of videos of the transfer of Ukrainian troops to the Donbass. But it was this day that became the point after which non-residents began to slowly withdraw from Ukrainian domestic government loan bonds.
At the moment, they have 96 billion 600 million left in their possession. Even from this we can conclude that there was a reaction to the belligerent rhetoric, but primarily to the rhetoric from Ukraine among these international investors,” Salivon said.
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